Event Selector

UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Procházka

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Jun 12, 2022 Past Kallang , Singapore Singapore Total Weight 514.368
Channels Engaged
16
Predictions Logged
179
Value Picks Flagged
51
Fight Slots
11
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 179 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 16 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 51 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.6 Hayisaer Maheshate ROI 1.22x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Hayisaer Maheshate vs Steve Garcia 1.22x ROI
Hayisaer Maheshate weighted 1.6 Market 2.46 Crowd 1.57
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Jack Della Maddalena vs Ramazan Emeev 1.2x ROI
Jack Della Maddalena weighted 1.2 Market 1.58 Crowd 1.2
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Hayisaer Maheshate vs Steve Garcia 0.72x ROI
Steve Garcia weighted 2.67 Market 1.53 Crowd 2.75
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Jack Della Maddalena vs Ramazan Emeev 0.75x ROI
Ramazan Emeev weighted 6.1 Market 2.42 Crowd 6.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Joshua Culibao vs Seung Woo Choi 0.81x ROI
Seung Woo Choi weighted 1.92 Market 1.4 Crowd 2.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 11
Weighted model 72.7%
Pure crowd 81.8%
Market favourite 45.5%

Jiří Procházka vs Glover Teixeira

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 131.07
ROI Momentum 0.59
Underdog Specialist 1.05
Favorite Reliability 38.06
Weight-Class Ace 7.95
Regional Familiarity 22.65
Value Pick Signal 26.6
Sample Size Confidence 107.4

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.