Event Selector

UFC 267: Błachowicz vs. Teixeira

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Oct 30, 2021 Past Abu Dhabi , United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates Total Weight 510.248
Channels Engaged
18
Predictions Logged
180
Value Picks Flagged
83
Fight Slots
14
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 180 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 18 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 83 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.34 Amanda Ribas ROI 1.12x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Amanda Ribas vs Virna Jandiroba 1.12x ROI
Amanda Ribas weighted 1.34 Market 1.6 Crowd 1.4
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Amanda Ribas vs Virna Jandiroba 0.83x ROI
Virna Jandiroba weighted 3.93 Market 2.34 Crowd 3.5
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Zubaira Tukhugov vs Ricardo Ramos 0.87x ROI
Ricardo Ramos weighted 3.46 Market 2.37 Crowd 3.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Lerone Murphy vs Makwan Amirkhani 0.89x ROI
Lerone Murphy weighted 1.53 Market 1.31 Crowd 1.6
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 14
Weighted model 85.7%
Pure crowd 85.7%
Market favourite 57.1%

Glover Teixeira vs Jan Błachowicz

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 120.94
ROI Momentum -0.82
Underdog Specialist -1.04
Favorite Reliability 42.53
Weight-Class Ace 7.09
Regional Familiarity 25.2
Value Pick Signal 36.75
Sample Size Confidence 99.6

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.