Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Oct 31, 2020 Past Total Weight 238.108
Channels Engaged
7
Predictions Logged
91
Value Picks Flagged
26
Fight Slots
11
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 91 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 7 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 26 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.4 Andre Fili ROI 1.22x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Bryce Mitchell vs Andre Fili 1.22x ROI
Andre Fili weighted 1.4 Market 2.04 Crowd 1.33
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Dustin Jacoby vs Justin Ledet 1.21x ROI
Dustin Jacoby weighted 1.0 Market 1.27 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Sean Strickland vs Jack Marshman 1.21x ROI
Sean Strickland weighted 1.0 Market 1.26 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Bryce Mitchell vs Andre Fili 0.73x ROI
Bryce Mitchell weighted 3.48 Market 1.78 Crowd 4.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Dustin Jacoby vs Justin Ledet 0.74x ROI
Justin Ledet weighted — Market 3.84 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Sean Strickland vs Jack Marshman 0.74x ROI
Jack Marshman weighted — Market 3.87 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 11
Weighted model 72.7%
Pure crowd 81.8%
Market favourite 72.7%

Uriah Hall vs Anderson Silva

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 58.73
ROI Momentum -0.52
Underdog Specialist -0.04
Favorite Reliability 21.85
Weight-Class Ace 6.25
Value Pick Signal 12.25
Sample Size Confidence 48.6

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.