Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Aug 23, 2025 Past Shanghai , China China Total Weight 2079.992
Channels Engaged
98
Predictions Logged
889
Value Picks Flagged
156
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 889 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 98 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 156 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.31 You Su-young ROI 1.19x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Xiao Long vs You Su-young 1.19x ROI
You Su-young weighted 1.31 Market 1.75 Crowd 1.39
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus 1.19x ROI
Michel Pereira weighted 1.11 Market 1.41 Crowd 1.12
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas 1.17x ROI
Kevin Borjas weighted 1.71 Market 2.44 Crowd 1.68
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Market Heat
Xiao Long vs You Su-young 0.76x ROI
Xiao Long weighted 4.25 Market 2.1 Crowd 3.55
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus 0.77x ROI
Kyle Daukaus weighted 10.38 Market 3.05 Crowd 9.25
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas 0.79x ROI
Su Mudaerji weighted 2.4 Market 1.59 Crowd 2.48
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 66.7%
Pure crowd 66.7%
Market favourite 75.0%

Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 448.27
ROI Momentum -18.98
Underdog Specialist -6.24
Favorite Reliability 204.45
Weight-Class Ace 31.19
Regional Familiarity 70.8
Value Pick Signal 88.9
Sample Size Confidence 372.6

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.