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12-6MMA
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 · breakdown

12-6MMA Show Ep2: UFC 303 Full Card Predictions and Breakdown

12 12-6MMA
24 months ago 7W–14L · -8.7u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:008:1816:3724:56≈33:15
RS Ricky Simón v Vinicius Oliveira MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm picking Ricky Simón to actually chin him I'm picking him by finish”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.44
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RS Ricky Simón v Vinicius Oliveira PROP · KO/TKO LOST -1.0u
“I'm picking Ricky Simón to actually chin him I'm picking him by finish”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$4.75
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CH Carlos Hernandez v Rei Tsuruya MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm picking the underdog in Carlos Hernandez”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.85 close$4.85
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CH Carlos Hernandez v Rei Tsuruya PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I am picking Carlos Hernandez by decision”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$7.50
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MB Martin Buday v Andrei Arlovski PROP · DECISION WON +1.6u
“I'm picking Martin Buday by decision”
Prop price at publish +1.6u
$2.63
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MB Martin Buday v Andrei Arlovski MONEYLINE WON +0.4u
“I'm going to do the same I think Andrei Arlovski is just way too old”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.41
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
PT Payton Talbott v Yanis Ghemmouri MONEYLINE WON +0.1u
“I think that being said uh Talbert's going to be able to back him up and TCO him I think in the second round”
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.11 close$1.07
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CJ Charles Jourdain v Jean Silva MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm just feeling I'm feeling like Jordan's going to win by decision”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.88 close$1.91
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CJ Charles Jourdain v Jean Silva PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm just feeling I'm feeling like Jordan's going to win by decision”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$2.63
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
AF Andre Fili v Cub Swanson PROP · KO/TKO LOST -1.0u
“I've also got Andre Fili uh I've got him by TKO round three”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$2.90
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
AF Andre Fili v Cub Swanson MONEYLINE WON +0.4u
“I've also got Andre Fili uh I've got him by TKO round three”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.48
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JP Joe Pyfer v Marc-André Barriault PROP · KO/TKO WON +1.5u
“I'm banking on Joe Pyfer to Chin him”
Prop price at publish +1.5u
$2.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JP Joe Pyfer v Marc-André Barriault MONEYLINE WON +0.3u
“I think Marc-André Barriault will get frustrated by this CU he won'Payton Talbott be getting much joy and I think in the second round he'll completely ignore his coaches and Rush In And then get mhm P by round two KO”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.36
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MP Michael Page v Ian Machado Garry MONEYLINE LOST
“give me Michael Page by third round TCO please please be a Payton Talbott please be a [ __ ] finish”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
MP Michael Page v Ian Machado Garry PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm taking Michael Page by decision”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.75
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MS Mayra Bueno Silva v Macy Chiasson PROP · SUBMISSION LOST -1.0u
“I've got Mayra Bueno Silva by submission”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.75
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MS Mayra Bueno Silva v Macy Chiasson MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I've got Mayra Bueno Silva by submission”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95 close$1.95
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
AS Anthony Smith v Roman Dolidze PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I've got Anthony Smith up Anthony Smith by decision”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$5.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
AS Anthony Smith v Roman Dolidze MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm just going to take Anthony Smith by a pretty comfortable 3027 UD”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.30 close$2.30
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
DL Diego Lopes v Dan Ige MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking I think Diego Lopes is going to with a with a short shot maybe like a like a lead hook or or like an uppercut like he did to Sadi Yousef and I think Diego Lopes is going to put him away by too in the first round”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
JP Jiří Procházka v Alex Pereira MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“Jiří Procházka I'm gonna say I think Jiří Procházka is going to finish Alex Pereira right”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.40 close$2.35
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus