UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:001:152:303:45≈5:01
KC
Kiefer Crosbie
v Sam Patterson
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Kiefer Crosbie
v Sam Patterson
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Sam Patterson versus Kiefer Crosbie we're going to go with Sam Patterson here by a third round finish”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.50
→
close$4.50
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SP
Sam Patterson
v Kiefer Crosbie
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Sam Patterson
v Kiefer Crosbie
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“we're going to go with Sam Patterson here by a third round finish”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.33
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CL
Caolán Loughran
v Jake Hadley
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Caolán Loughran
v Jake Hadley
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Jake Hadley versus Caolán Loughran uh I'm going to take L by uh by a decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JH
Jake Hadley
v Caolán Loughran
PROP · DECISION
WON +3.5u
Jake Hadley
v Caolán Loughran
PROP · DECISION
WON +3.5u
“uh I'm going to take L by uh by a decision”
Prop price at publish
+3.5u
$4.50
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MK
Manel Kape
v Muhammad Mokaev
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Manel Kape
v Muhammad Mokaev
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“assuming Manel Kape makes weight and actually fights I think he's going to lose”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.53
→
close$2.53
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MM
Muhammad Mokaev
v Manel Kape
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Muhammad Mokaev
v Manel Kape
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to go with a third round ground and pound TKO for muhamad MV”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$12.00
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CD
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Christian Leroy Duncan versus um whoever he's fighting Gregory Rodrigues I forgot or it wasn't there when I took the screenshots”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.80
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CD
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Gregory Rodrigues
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I think Leroy Duncan is going to win his fight by knocko”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)