UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:0011:2722:5434:21≈45:48
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
Melquizael Costa
v Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
“I'm going with Melquizael Costa here to win the fight”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.55
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SN
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“the chelian knockout round one is the most interesting bet”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$7.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JP
Julia Polastri
v Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Julia Polastri
v Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I like um uh pastri at the underdog price uh plus 200 was real good”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$2.70
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JK
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Julia Polastri
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Julia Polastri
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
“I think nutson is probably getting a little overvalued”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.59
→
close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JS
Jeka Saragih
v Westin Wilson
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Jeka Saragih
v Westin Wilson
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Jaa is actually coming off a win but a little bit of a fluky win”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
WW
Westin Wilson
v Jeka Saragih
MONEYLINE
WON +2.6u
Westin Wilson
v Jeka Saragih
MONEYLINE
WON +2.6u
“taking some sort of Weston W Westin Wilson angle in this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.10
→
close$4.10
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CJ
Carli Judice
v Gabriella Fernandes
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Carli Judice
v Gabriella Fernandes
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Judi surpass is the only way to play it in my opinion”
Line since pick
CLV +22%
◆ entry$3.00
→
close$2.45
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.56
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
BH
Brady Hiestand
v Garrett Armfield
MONEYLINE
WON +1.5u
Brady Hiestand
v Garrett Armfield
MONEYLINE
WON +1.5u
“I'll go Armfield by decision as my pick”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.65
→
close$2.70
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
TT
Tatsuro Taira
v Alex Perez
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
Tatsuro Taira
v Alex Perez
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
“I think he will win the fight with his grappling unfortunately not sure if it'll be sub or by decision I I guess I'll lean with decision for toar”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.53
entry: BlueBet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +7%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.83
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.13
→
close$2.10
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JJ
Jose Johnson
v Asu Almabayev
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Jose Johnson
v Asu Almabayev
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“there's a small path for something similar to happen here”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$6.50
→
close$6.50
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
AA
Asu Almabayev
v Jose Johnson
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
Asu Almabayev
v Jose Johnson
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
“I see no reason to think that that ASU isn't just going to dominate this fight in the grappling”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.20
entry: Betclic · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MJ
Miles Johns
v Douglas Silva de Andrade
MONEYLINE
WON +0.8u
Miles Johns
v Douglas Silva de Andrade
MONEYLINE
WON +0.8u
“I'm going to be supporting JN here I did bet him minus 113”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.83
→
close$1.80
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
DA
Douglas Silva de Andrade
v Miles Johns
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Douglas Silva de Andrade
v Miles Johns
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to be supporting JN here”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.22
→
close$2.26
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
TC
Timothy Cuamba
v Lucas Almeida
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Timothy Cuamba
v Lucas Almeida
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I believe it's it's possible kwamba could could hurt Almeida”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.54
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
LA
Lucas Almeida
v Timothy Cuamba
MONEYLINE
WON +1.6u
Lucas Almeida
v Timothy Cuamba
MONEYLINE
WON +1.6u
“I see it being competitive I think the line is a little wide in terms of money line but the way I'm looking to play the fight is just to go over over two and a half and the fight to go the distance I believe those are great bets and possibly the Best Bets of the entire card uh in my eyes uh I just I don't understand why I think most kwamba fights should be favored to go the distance”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.80
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus