UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:0010:3321:0731:41≈42:15
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I had Melquizael Costa by decision”
Line since pick
CLV +7%
◆ entry$2.45
→
close$2.30
entry: Hard Rock Bet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“I had Melquizael Costa by decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.20
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
AA
Arnold Allen
v Melquizael Costa
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
Arnold Allen
v Melquizael Costa
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
“I am going to pick Arnold Allen to get a decision win here.”
Line since pick
CLV −21%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$2.08
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MB
Modestas Bukauskas
v Rodolfo Bellato
MONEYLINE
Modestas Bukauskas
v Rodolfo Bellato
MONEYLINE
“I'm going to pick Modestas Bukauskas here.”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.94
→
now$1.87
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.61
→
close$1.65
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
KV
Ketlen Vieira
v Jacqueline Cavalcanti
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.9u
Ketlen Vieira
v Jacqueline Cavalcanti
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.9u
“Catelyn Ketlen Vieira by decision”
Prop price at publish
+1.9u
$2.90
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
KV
Ketlen Vieira
v Jacqueline Cavalcanti
MONEYLINE
WON +1.4u
Ketlen Vieira
v Jacqueline Cavalcanti
MONEYLINE
WON +1.4u
“Catelyn Ketlen Vieira by decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.50
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
KW
Khaos Williams
v Nikolay Veretennikov
MONEYLINE
WON +0.8u
—
Khaos Williams
v Nikolay Veretennikov
MONEYLINE
WON +0.8u
—
“I'm going to pick Khaos Williams money and pairing it with Khaos Williams fight.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.95
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MW
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
—
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
—
“Malcolm Wellmaker by decision, which is one's going to be Malcolm Malcolm Wellmaker to with the Juan Díaz Wal Malcolm Malcolm Wellmaker”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$3.55
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
PV
Polyana Viana
v Alice Ardelean
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
—
Polyana Viana
v Alice Ardelean
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
—
“decent betting spot here with Polyana Viana Polyana Viana wins”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$2.81
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CD
Choi Doo-ho
v Daniel Santos
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
—
“I'm taking Choi Doo-ho as the Choi Doo-ho here... I favor Choi Doo-ho here. I'm going to pick It's It's hard to tell if uh if Choi Doo-ho is I'll take Choi Doo-ho by decision... Choi Doo-ho is going to be my three fights.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$5.55
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CD
Choi Doo-ho
v Daniel Santos
MONEYLINE
WON +1.1u
—
“I'm taking Choi Doo-ho as the Choi Doo-ho here... I favor Choi Doo-ho here. I'm going to pick It's It's hard to tell if uh if Choi Doo-ho is I'll take Choi Doo-ho by decision... Choi Doo-ho is going to be my three fights.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.50
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
LG
Luis Gurule
v Daniel Barez
MONEYLINE
WON +0.9u
—
Luis Gurule
v Daniel Barez
MONEYLINE
WON +0.9u
—
“give me Luis Gurule to take a decision with volume.”
Line since pick
CLV +10%
◆ entry$1.92
→
close$1.75
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MW
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
—
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
—
“Malcolm Wellmaker by decision, which is one's going to be Malcolm Malcolm Wellmaker to with the Juan Díaz Wal Malcolm Malcolm Wellmaker”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.43
→
close$1.40
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
