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TarkBree
UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · breakdown

UFC Fight Night Usman vs Buckley Ful Card Predictions

TA TarkBree
13 months ago 3W–6L · +9.0u 9/12 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:003:547:4911:43≈15:38
CM Court McGee v Michael Chiesa MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to go Court McGee. I think these guys are kind of similar, but Kessa is just better.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$3.85 close$3.88
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RB Rodolfo Bellato v Paul Craig MONEYLINE
“I'll go Philip Rowedolfo Bellato.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.29 now$1.32
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
RB Raoni Barcelos v Cody Garbrandt PROP · DECISION WON +1.6u
“I'm going to go Raoni Barcelos. I'll say by decision.”
Prop price at publish +1.6u
$2.55
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
ES Edmen Shahbazyan v Andre Petroski PROP · DECISION WON +5.2u
“Edmen Shahbazyan, I'm going to hope his cardio... Edmen Shahbazyan by finish.”
Prop price at publish +5.2u
$6.20
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JH Jamey-Lyn Horth v Tereza Bledá MONEYLINE
“I'll go Jamey-Lyn Horth. Vop Demopoulos is pretty ass. ... see, Jamey-Lyn Horth decision.”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
JB Joaquin Buckley v Kamaru Usman PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to go with Joaquin Buckley. ... I think Joaquin Buckley by decision.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
PR Philip Rowe v Ange Loosa PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm gonna go Philip Rowese Namajunas. I just think she's a little better. ... Philip Rowese Namajunas by decision.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$4.75
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MA Mansur Abdul-Malik v Cody Brundage PROP · DECISION WON +8.2u
“I think Mansur Abdul-Malik is just like... I'll do my leak by finish.”
Prop price at publish +8.2u
$9.25
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
OS Oumar Sy v Alonzo Menifield PROP · SUBMISSION LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to go Oumar Sy actually. ... Oumar Sy will just keep taking him down and probably submit him. ... by submission.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$2.58
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JO Jose Ochoa v Cody Durden PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I just think he's really good. ... about Iago Jose Ochoa by finish.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.12
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
RS Ricky Simón v Charles Jourdain PROP · DECISION
“I'm going to go Ricky Simón. ... I'll say Ricky Simón by decision, I guess.”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight
AL Ange Loosa v Philip Rowe PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to go with Ange Loosa. I just think he's a little more committed to the game. ... So, I'll go Ange Loosa by decision.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$2.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)