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Martian MMA
UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · breakdown

Martian and Ozzy Show 84 (UFC Sandhagen vs Font)

MM Martian MMA
35 months ago 8W–4L · +5.3u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:0017:5135:4353:34≈71:26
SW Sean Woodson v Dennis Buzukja MONEYLINE WON
“I'll go with Sean Woodson uh 2 3 KO”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.57
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CD Cody Durden v Jake Hadley MONEYLINE WON +1.6u
“um so I think Cody Durden moneyline side and uh his line by decision is very good I really don't see Cody Durden uh finishing the fight so I I think this one um has a good chance to be Cody Durden by decision”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.73 close$2.73
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CD Cody Durden v Jake Hadley PROP · DECISION WON +3.0u
“um so I think Cody Durden moneyline side and uh his line by decision is very good I really don't see Cody Durden uh finishing the fight so I I think this one um has a good chance to be Cody Durden by decision”
Prop price at publish +3.0u
$4.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CH Carlston Harris v Jeremiah Wells MONEYLINE WON +0.8u
“I just think that Carlston Harris is actually a little more refined he's much younger in his career and I think he's you know improving a little bit more while Jeremiah I was just watching his last fight against simmonsburg it's like this guy's been Pro for 10 years and whenever the fight is in the feed he is just wind Milling punches and like he just fights so crazy and he does he doesn't have much composure and I just think that's a pretty bad sign for being 10 years in your career and he just still gets so wild in there I mean the the way Samuel's Burger was knocking him down in that fight I mean uh very sloppy stuff on the feed so I think Carlton um has the edge probably in both areas of the fight here I think I favor him on the feet and on the ground uh obviously I think either could guy uh”
Line since pick CLV +23%
◆ entry$2.30 close$1.87
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RB Raoni Barcelos v Kyler Phillips MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm getting a nice plus lumber on this guy and then as well I like the uh goes the distance because I feel both guys are good enough Grapplers that the only submission potential is club and sub there's like positionally I don't think either guys can submit each other and then I also think that it's going to be really hard for hayoni to um hurt Kyler Kyler Phillips significantly with a strike so I like barcelo's money line by decision and the over or the goal is the distance Count Me In”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.81 close$2.76
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RB Raoni Barcelos v Kyler Phillips PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm getting a nice plus lumber on this guy and then as well I like the uh goes the distance because I feel both guys are good enough Grapplers that the only submission potential is club and sub there's like positionally I don't think either guys can submit each other and then I also think that it's going to be really hard for hayoni to um hurt Kyler Kyler Phillips significantly with a strike so I like barcelo's money line by decision and the over or the goal is the distance Count Me In”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$4.10
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
IB Ignacio Bahamondes v Ľudovít Klein MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I like Ignacio Bahamondes is here I bet him minus 190. I was waiting for the line to come in under -200 pull the trigger and it looks like I did that at the right time um I just don't think the client has a great chance to win the fight I think he's gonna need to wrestle to win the fight and I just don't trust his wrestling uh enough to do so I don't really don't think he's submitting Baja mundas so if client wants to win he's going to have to wrestle in multiple rounds uh he's going to be at a big height and reach disadvantage here uh Ľudovít Klein actually absorbs more strikes than he lands per minute Ignacio Bahamondes's lands like three three more strikes and he gets hit with so he's got a way better strike differential and I think just that distance the the nerd the range the distance of uh Ignacio Bahamondes and j”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.50 close$1.47
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
TB Tanner Boser v Aleksa Camur MONEYLINE WON +0.6u
“I think Tanner Boser is good uh and Boston will likely win the fight not sure if it'll be um by K or decision I'll go 2 3 KO I think it'll probably be a finish but uh I agree Tanner Boser juice is tempting and I'll likely end up on him here”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.69 close$1.77
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
TB Tanner Boser v Aleksa Camur PROP · KO/TKO LOST -1.0u
“I think Tanner Boser is good uh and Boston will likely win the fight not sure if it'll be um by K or decision I'll go 2 3 KO I think it'll probably be a finish but uh I agree Tanner Boser juice is tempting and I'll likely end up on him here”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.75
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
DJ Dustin Jacoby v Kennedy Nzechukwu MONEYLINE WON +1.2u
“I want to be on the Dustin Jacoby side here you know I I've respected some of the stuff from Kennedy Nzechukwu but I still feel there's gonna be still setbacks along the way for the guy now some of the grappling you know success obviously look yeah grappling success over Carl Carl uh what's his name Carl uh Roberson who not really a natural 185 one uh 205 but he looked great in that fight you know wrist riding he was doing all the right things um in his next fight he fought a guy in Ian kutalaba that we predicted he was like hey Ian Zuna probably come out hot and then uh Kennedy Nzechukwu's in the finishing you know no doubt about it but I feel like a guy like Dustin Jacoby is just a significant significant test for Kennedy Nzechukwu because he's a really good kickboxer who's also tall he's also you know big obviously Ke”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40 close$2.40
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CS Cory Sandhagen v Rob Font PROP · DECISION WON +1.8u
“my pick officially will be Cory Sandhagen by decision”
Prop price at publish +1.8u
$2.77
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CS Cory Sandhagen v Rob Font MONEYLINE WON +0.3u
“my pick officially will be Cory Sandhagen by decision”
Line since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.31
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus