UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · breakdown
Every UFC Miami Fight Explained in 5 Minutes by Betting Supercomputer
MA
MMA A.I
15 months ago
2W–7L · -5.8u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:001:343:094:44≈6:19
DL
Diego Lopes
v Alexander Volkanovski
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Diego Lopes
v Alexander Volkanovski
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“I predict he will win this fight by decision.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$7.25
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MC
Michael Chandler
v Paddy Pimblett
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Michael Chandler
v Paddy Pimblett
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'll take the younger and hungrier baddie to achieve victory via involuntary nap induction.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.00
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
NK
Nikita Krylov
v Dominick Reyes
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Nikita Krylov
v Dominick Reyes
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“my calculations give the Kyokushing black belt Krylov a 55% edge.”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.65
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SW
Sean Woodson
v Dan Ige
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Sean Woodson
v Dan Ige
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“Expect Woodson's alien architecture to dominate at range and in clinch exchanges as he keeps the fight standing and wins a decision.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.83
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
YX
Yan Xiaonan
v Virna Jandiroba
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Yan Xiaonan
v Virna Jandiroba
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Calculations favor Yan as the underdog provided tactical distance is maintained.”
Line since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$2.55
→
close$2.35
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
DE
Darren Elkins
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Darren Elkins
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Take Darren Elkins to do some damage to the sports books.”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$4.15
→
close$4.00
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SD
Sedriques Dumas
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Sedriques Dumas
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Select Dumas for reliable performance output.”
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$2.73
→
close$2.95
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
NC
Nora Cornolle
v Hailey Cowan
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
Nora Cornolle
v Hailey Cowan
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
“My calculations favor Nora Cornolle based on historically accurate aesthetic algorithms common in women's MMA.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.69
→
close$1.70
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus