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DougLas Vegas
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · breakdown

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Full Card Breakdown

DV DougLas Vegas64% hit
2 months ago 7W–3L · +2.9u 10/13 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:009:4719:3429:22≈39:09
MM Mike Malott v Gilbert Burns MONEYLINE WON +0.3u
“I'm going to pick him a lot here. Uh I'm going to pick him by decision.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.39
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MM Mike Malott v Gilbert Burns PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to pick him a lot here. Uh I'm going to pick him by decision.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$7.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
KP Kyler Phillips v Charles Jourdain PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“My bet is Kyler Phillips by decision at plus 300.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.85
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
KP Kyler Phillips v Charles Jourdain MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“My bet is Kyler Phillips by decision at plus 300.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.35 close$2.30
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JH Jai Herbert v Mandel Nallo MONEYLINE WON +1.5u
“I'd take Jai Herbert Money Line as my underdog best bet of the week.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.60 close$2.60
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JJ Jasmine Jasudavicius v Karine Silva MONEYLINE WON +0.3u
“I'm picking Jasmine Jasudavicius Dishious to get a decision here.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.35 close$1.34
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
GY Gauge Young v Thiago Moisés MONEYLINE WON +0.8u
“I'm going to lean with him to get a decision here.”
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.80 close$1.73
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RV Robert Valentin v Julien Leblanc MONEYLINE WON +0.8u
“I'll take him to get a submission in the first round.”
Line since pick CLV +21%
◆ entry$2.10 close$1.73
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RV Robert Valentin v Julien Leblanc PROP · SUBMISSION WON +2.0u
“I'll take him to get a submission in the first round.”
Prop price at publish +2.0u
$3.05
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
TB Tanner Boser v Gökhan Saricam MONEYLINE
“For that reason, I'm going to pick Tanner Boser here as the slight underdog.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.40 now$2.36
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
AN Allan Nascimento v Mitch Raposo MONEYLINE
“with that, give me Alan Allan Nascimento to take a decision win here.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56 now$1.56
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
JC John Castañeda v Mark Vologdin MONEYLINE
“I like John Castañeda to put the pressure on mixing the grappling in this one and take a decision win here.”
Line since pick CLV +13%
◆ entry$2.05 now$1.81
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
MB Márcio Barbosa v Dennis Buzukja MONEYLINE WON +0.2u
“I do think Márcio Barbosa is going to land uh Márcio Barbosa... Hope that Márcio Barbosa gets it done”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.24 close$1.23
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus