UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · breakdown
Split Decisions Podcast: Episode 3 (UFC Fight Night: Perez vs Taira Picks and Predictions)
GV
gem n eye visuals
25 months ago
6W–6L · +3.1u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:0012:5025:4038:30≈51:20
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +4.0u
Melquizael Costa
v Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +4.0u
“so yeah give me Melquizael Costak by submission second or third round”
Prop price at publish
+4.0u
$5.00
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
SN
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“my pick is gonna be Shayilan Nuerdanbieke in this fight”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$7.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JK
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Julia Polastri
PROP · DECISION
WON +0.9u
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Julia Polastri
PROP · DECISION
WON +0.9u
“my pick is going to be Josefine Lindgren Knutsson in this fight”
Prop price at publish
+0.9u
$1.87
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JS
Jeka Saragih
v Westin Wilson
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Jeka Saragih
v Westin Wilson
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“my pick's going to be Jeka Saragih and give me him by first round knockout”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
GF
Gabriella Fernandes
v Carli Judice
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.5u
Gabriella Fernandes
v Carli Judice
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.5u
“my pick is gonna be Gabriella Fernandez”
Prop price at publish
+1.5u
$2.50
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
BH
Brady Hiestand
v Garrett Armfield
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Brady Hiestand
v Garrett Armfield
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“give Garrett arfield probably more so by decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$3.60
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.10
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
AA
Asu Almabayev
v Jose Johnson
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
Asu Almabayev
v Jose Johnson
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
“I'm going with ASU yes that line is minus 420”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.20
entry: Betclic · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$2.70
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
TT
Tatsuro Taira
v Alex Perez
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Tatsuro Taira
v Alex Perez
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“give me Tatsuro Taira by decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.90
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JQ
Josh Quinlan
v Adam Fugitt
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
—
Josh Quinlan
v Adam Fugitt
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
—
“I'm gonna stick my head out and pick Josh van in this fight”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$5.50
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
NM
Nate Maness
v Jimmy Flick
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
—
Nate Maness
v Jimmy Flick
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
—
“my pick's going to be Nate mayz by KO”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.43
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)