UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:003:437:2611:09≈14:52
DF
Daniel Frunza
v Rhys McKee
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Daniel Frunza
v Rhys McKee
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to be going with Daniel Frenzo by KO here.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.80
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
LG
Luis Gurule
v Ode' Osbourne
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Luis Gurule
v Ode' Osbourne
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I likely see this going by decision and Luis Gurule taking that win.”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.43
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
GM
Gerald Meerschaert
v Brad Tavares
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
Gerald Meerschaert
v Brad Tavares
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
“Gerald Meerschaert Meerschaertat by sub. I'm taking it. That's live. That's live, dude.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.95
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
CR
Cortavious Romious
v Lee Chang-ho
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Cortavious Romious
v Lee Chang-ho
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“Yeah, I got Cortavious Romious by decision. I don't really see this fight being too entertaining. Um, I could see it going either way, but looking at um what Cortavious Romious has done.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.10
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JB
Joanderson Brito
v Pat Sabatini
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Joanderson Brito
v Pat Sabatini
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Joanderson Brito's getting it done here. We're taking the Brazilian. 8KO, seven subs. Joanderson Brito's getting it done in the distance”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.47
→
close$1.45
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Josh Emmett
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.0u
—
Lerone Murphy
v Josh Emmett
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.0u
—
“I'm going with Lerone Murphy. It's a five round fight. ... Lerone Murphy by decision or Josh Emmett Em by KO is where it's at”
Prop price at publish
+1.0u
$1.95
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
TA
Talita Alencar
v Vanessa Demopoulos
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.4u
—
Talita Alencar
v Vanessa Demopoulos
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.4u
—
“I think I'm going to go with Vanessa here. Toita, she's uh new to the to the UFC. ... But um I'm thinking Dalo Demopoulos gets it done here uh via decision”
Prop price at publish
+1.4u
$2.38
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
TF
Torrez Finney
v Robert Valentin
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
—
Torrez Finney
v Robert Valentin
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
—
“Yeah, I'm be riding Taurus Torrez Finney here. ... Nah, it's either going to be KO or decision by Torrez Finney.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.60
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
DB
Dione Barbosa
v Diana Belbiţă
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +0.8u
—
Dione Barbosa
v Diana Belbiţă
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +0.8u
—
“I'm taking Dione Barbosa here to finish the fight in the distance. ... She's got some uh couple three subs under her belt.”
Prop price at publish
+0.8u
$1.82
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)