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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · breakdown

Why Sean O’Malley Will Destroy Merab Dvalishvili (UFC 316 Preview & Predictions)

SI SillyMMA
13 months ago 3W–8L · -6.5u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:002:234:467:09≈9:32
MC Mark Choinski v MarQuel Mederos PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“But there was just beating him by decision.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$4.50
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
KH Kayla Harrison v Julianna Peña MONEYLINE WON +0.1u
“I think you know Sid will stay technical. Beat Yanal Ashmouz. He's got much longer range.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.17
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JS Jeka Saragih v Yoo Joo-sang MONEYLINE LOST
“I think he will get it done.”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
SS Serghei Spivac v Waldo Cortes-Acosta PROP · SUBMISSION LOST -1.0u
“I think Serghei Spivac is just too experienced and you know, Serghei Spivac got to finish over in my opinion. It's just a better R Costa and I think he will submit um Word Costa in the second round.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.98
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
AM Azamat Murzakanov v Brendson Ribeiro PROP · KO/TKO WON +0.4u
“This is Amazon on like there's no way this fight makes it past the second round. I'm saying first round kale elite first round k”
Prop price at publish +0.4u
$1.35
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JV Joshua Van v Bruno Gustavo da Silva PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think against a guy like Bruno Gustavo da Silva we could even be seeing a finish”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight
KH Kevin Holland v Vicente Luque PROP · KO/TKO LOST -1.0u
“I think he will knock out Vicente Luque in the first round.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$2.45
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JP Joe Pyfer v Kelvin Gastelum PROP · KO/TKO LOST -1.0u
“I am picking Joe Pyfer. The crack, the crafty vetin of Kelvin Gastelum. I believe he will crack his chin for the first time”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$3.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JP Julianna Peña v Kayla Harrison MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm going with the massive underdog in Julianna Peña.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$6.25 close$6.50
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SO Sean O'Malley v Merab Dvalishvili PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I am taking Sha Molly man. I'm taking Sugar Sha to get it going... And I am taking Omi by decision.”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$7.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
PM Patchy Mix v Mario Bautista MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I think Patchy Mix will deliver on his UFC debut.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.58 close$1.58
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus