Event Selector

UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Jun 10, 2023 Past Vancouver , British Columbia , Canada Canada Total Weight 839.74
Channels Engaged
33
Predictions Logged
314
Value Picks Flagged
120
Fight Slots
11
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 314 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 33 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 120 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.82 Jasmine Jasudavicius ROI 1.22x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Miranda Maverick 1.22x ROI
Jasmine Jasudavicius weighted 1.82 Market 3.05 Crowd 1.86
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Mike Malott vs Adam Fugitt 1.18x ROI
Mike Malott weighted 1.14 Market 1.45 Crowd 1.17
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Miranda Maverick 0.73x ROI
Miranda Maverick weighted 2.22 Market 1.38 Crowd 2.17
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Mike Malott vs Adam Fugitt 0.77x ROI
Adam Fugitt weighted 7.93 Market 2.79 Crowd 7.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Nassourdine Imavov vs Chris Curtis 0.78x ROI
Nassourdine Imavov weighted 2.38 Market 1.56 Crowd 2.44
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 10
Weighted model 80.0%
Pure crowd 70.0%
Market favourite 50.0%

Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 187.11
ROI Momentum -1.27
Underdog Specialist 1.37
Favorite Reliability 68.94
Weight-Class Ace 13.84
Regional Familiarity 41.55
Value Pick Signal 58.8
Sample Size Confidence 155.4

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.