Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Mar 14, 2026 Past Las Vegas , Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 185.679
Channels Engaged
6
Predictions Logged
91
Value Picks Flagged
3
Fight Slots
15
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 91 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 6 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 3 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.12 Eryk Anders ROI 1.34x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders 1.34x ROI
Eryk Anders weighted 1.12 Market 1.79 Crowd 1.25
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson 1.29x ROI
Gillian Robertson weighted 1.0 Market 1.41 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders 0.61x ROI
Brad Tavares weighted 9.44 Market 2.03 Crowd 5.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson 0.66x ROI
Amanda Lemos weighted — Market 2.93 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Elijah Smith vs You Su-young 0.69x ROI
You Su-young weighted — Market 3.21 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 13
Weighted model 92.3%
Pure crowd 92.3%
Market favourite 92.3%

Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 40.8
ROI Momentum 0.18
Underdog Specialist -1.26
Favorite Reliability 20.84
Weight-Class Ace 3.07
Regional Familiarity 0.6
Value Pick Signal 1.05
Sample Size Confidence 29.4

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.