Event Selector

UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Apr 11, 2026 Past Miami, Florida , U.S. U S Total Weight 4844.937
Channels Engaged
291
Predictions Logged
2503
Value Picks Flagged
206
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 2503 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 291 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 206 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.0 Loopy Godínez ROI 1.57x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Tatiana Suarez vs Loopy Godínez 1.57x ROI
Loopy Godínez weighted 1.0 Market 2.33 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Tatiana Suarez vs Loopy Godínez 0.38x ROI
Tatiana Suarez weighted — Market 1.61 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr 0.72x ROI
Nate Landwehr weighted 4.18 Market 1.92 Crowd 4.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado 0.72x ROI
Francisco Prado weighted 7.52 Market 2.45 Crowd 6.29
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 11
Weighted model 54.5%
Pure crowd 54.5%
Market favourite 72.7%

Patrício Pitbull vs Aaron Pico

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 911.01
ROI Momentum -34.6
Underdog Specialist -2.64
Favorite Reliability 431.73
Weight-Class Ace 55.99
Regional Familiarity 139.2
Value Pick Signal 82.25
Sample Size Confidence 759.0

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.