Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Apr 25, 2026 Past Las Vegas , Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 5027.887
Channels Engaged
249
Predictions Logged
2212
Value Picks Flagged
166
Fight Slots
15
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 2212 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 249 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 166 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.0 Cody Durden ROI 1.82x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden 1.82x ROI
Cody Durden weighted 1.0 Market 5.61 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Davey Grant vs Adrián Luna Martinetti 1.5x ROI
Adrián Luna Martinetti weighted 1.0 Market 2.01 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden 0.13x ROI
Jafel Filho weighted — Market 1.14 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Davey Grant vs Adrián Luna Martinetti 0.44x ROI
Davey Grant weighted — Market 1.8 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Davey Grant vs Juan Adrián Luna Martinetti 0.66x ROI
Juan Adrián Luna Martinetti weighted 6.22 Market 2.01 Crowd 6.4
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 13
Weighted model 53.8%
Pure crowd 53.8%
Market favourite 38.5%

Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 1129.65
ROI Momentum -52.23
Underdog Specialist 27.62
Favorite Reliability 461.83
Weight-Class Ace 87.67
Regional Familiarity 140.85
Value Pick Signal 70.7
Sample Size Confidence 949.8

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.