Event Selector

UFC on ESPN: Gamrot vs. Klein

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

May 31, 2025 Scheduled Las Vegas, Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 2025.558
Channels Engaged
168
Predictions Logged
1048
Value Picks Flagged
219
Fight Slots
14
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 1048 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 168 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 219 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.0 Michael Aswell ROI 1.81x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Bolaji Oki vs Michael Aswell 1.81x ROI
Michael Aswell weighted 1.0 Market 5.35 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Bolaji Oki vs Michael Aswell 0.13x ROI
Bolaji Oki weighted — Market 1.15 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Ramiz Brahimaj vs Billy Ray Goff 0.19x ROI
Billy Ray Goff weighted — Market 1.24 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Ramiz Brahimaj vs Billy Ray Goff 0.74x ROI
Ramiz Brahimaj weighted — Market 3.84 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 8
Weighted model 50.0%
Pure crowd 50.0%
Market favourite 75.0%

Jafel Filho vs Allan Nascimento

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 351.63
ROI Momentum -11.25
Underdog Specialist -1.76
Favorite Reliability 119.09
Weight-Class Ace 29.4
Regional Familiarity 88.65
Value Pick Signal 107.8
Sample Size Confidence 294.0

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.