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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rębecki v Duncan Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 29 picks · conf 53/99
Rębecki 21
8 Duncan
BTMKBT pick Rębecki
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
MRRębecki 20-4 VS 15-2 DuncanCD
5'7" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 156 lb
66" reach 71"
33 age 33
Southpaw stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rębecki20-4
L GD Dawson Submission · R3 May '26
L ĽK Klein Decision · R3 Oct '25
L CD Duncan Decision · R3 Aug '25
W MO Orolbai Decision · R3 Oct '24
L CF Ferreira KO/TKO · R3 May '24
Duncan15-2
L RM Moicano Submission · R2 Apr '26
W TM McKinney Submission · R1 Dec '25
W MR Rębecki Decision · R3 Aug '25
W JV Vucenic Submission · R2 Mar '25
W BO Oki Submission · R1 Sep '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
US Uselyis picks Mateusz Rębecki “Let's go Mateusz Rębecki for the dub.” $1.45
TG The Fight Guy picks Mateusz Rębecki “I'm gonna go with Mateusz Rębecki to win this fight. I think he's going to be able to get Chris Duncan down and control him.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Chris Duncan VALUE “I'm going with Chris Duncan.” $2.85
JE JeZeus picks Mateusz Rębecki “Second round TKO, maybe leg kick TKO for Mateusz Rębecki.”
LJ Lucrative James picks Chris Duncan VALUE “Hyped to see our boy Chris Duncan get the dub this weekend”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Mateusz Rębecki “Mateusz Rębecki going to go with Mateusz Rębecki to win versus Chris Duncan.”
KP Knockout Picks picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE “I'm going to go with Mateusz Rębecki here.” $1.50
OZ Ozzy picks Mateusz Rębecki “I'm going to go with Matthew Rebecki to win via decision.”
LM Luminary MMA picks Mateusz Rębecki “I'm going to be going with the obvious one here, dude. Mateusz Rębecki should be able to just get this done.”
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks Mateusz Rębecki “52 out of 69 channels for 75%... 15 out of 45 channels going with Mateusz Rębecki for a KO TKO win.” $1.47
YO YoungPastey picks Chris Duncan VALUE “My boy Chris Duncan... I think he takes this. Chris Duncan as as an underdog plus 175.” $2.75
YO YoungPastey picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE “Mateusz Rębecki, this is my dude as well going up against Elves Brener... I think he takes this.” $2.10