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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Neal v Prates Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 148 picks · conf 99/99
Neal 44
104 Prates
HSDTBM pick Neal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
GNNeal 16-7 VS 23-7 PratesCP
5'11" height 6'1"
171 lb weight 170 lb
75" reach 78"
35 age 32
Southpaw stance Switch
Recent form last five, most recent first
Neal16-7
L UM Medić KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L CP Prates KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W RA Anjos KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L IG Garry Decision · R3 Feb '24
L SR Rakhmonov Submission · R3 Mar '23
Prates23-7
W JM Maddalena KO/TKO · R3 May '26
W LE Edwards KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W GN Neal KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L IG Garry Decision · R5 Apr '25
W NM Magny KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Carlos Prates VALUE “I will say this give me Carlos Prates practice part of the fighting nerds knockout round number two”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Geoff Neal VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Carlos Prates “So, I'm going with Carlos Prates here reluctantly.”
TF The Fight Forecast picks Carlos Prates VALUE “My official pick will be I think Carlos Prates by KO.” $2.20
MD mdminds picks Geoff Neal “I Geoff Neal, 10 knockouts, two lot in that favor of Geoff Neal as well.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I'm a believer in Carl Pches as a welterweight contender.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Carlos Prates VALUE “I like patches here and I think he's going to win. I think if he wins it's probably with a knockout.”
RX RX picks Geoff Neal VALUE “give me Edson Barbosa by decision”
HP Hayjive Picks picks Geoff Neal VALUE “Number four, Geoff Neal, higher than 39 and a half.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I'mma go with Neil on this one.”
LJ Lucrative James picks Geoff Neal “I'm picking Protest by round three KO”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Geoff Neal VALUE “And once the scorecards are read, I expect the underdog to get his hand raised.”