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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Santos Aguilar v Gurule Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 86 picks · conf 80/99
Santos Aguilar 45
41 Gurule
TPLBST pick Santos Aguilar
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
JASantos Aguilar 12-4 VS 11-3 GuruleLG
5'4" height 5'5"
125 lb weight 125 lb
63" reach 64"
30 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Santos Aguilar12-4
L SM Mudaerji Decision · R3 Mar '26
W LG Gurule Decision · R3 Sep '25
L RE Estevam Decision · R3 Feb '25
W SN Nicoll Submission · R1 Aug '24
W MM Mendonça Decision · R3 Feb '24
Gurule11-3
L RT Tsuruya Submission · R1 May '26
W DB Barez Decision · R3 May '26
L AC Coria Decision · R3 Feb '26
L JA Aguilar Decision · R3 Sep '25
L OO Osbourne KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “I love Jesús Santos Aguilar to get it done inside the distance... Monsterette Rendone the Mexican on UFC... she can get her out of there.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Luis Gurule “I like Luis Gerle to win by decision.”
BO BotmfeederMMA picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “We're gonna go with Jesús Santos Aguilar.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “I'm predicting Lewis Gerule to win.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Luis Gurule “My pick will be Luis Gerule, but I'll also sprinkle Jesús Santos Aguilar in some parlays just to cover my bases.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “0.35 units in Jesús Santos Aguilar at plus 170” $2.70
CM Cronyo Media picks Jesús Santos Aguilar “I'm gonna believe in my heart of hearts Jesús Santos Aguilar is going to get this done.”
TM Teo Talks MMA picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “Give me Jesus Aular to win this fight.”
TM The MMA Mathematician picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “maybe a uh 29 28 unanimous or split decision for Jesús Santos Aguilar here” $2.80
AO Armchair Octagon picks Luis Gurule “I'm gonna have to go with Lewis Gerule.”
AO Armchair Octagon picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “I think he's fought the better competition.”
YO YoungPastey picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE “We are going with Jesús Santos Aguilar plus 190. We are putting 1.05 units on it. People are sleeping on my boy Jesús Santos Aguilar.” $2.90