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Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
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Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight
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Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
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AM
Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
AP
AA
Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BG
LR
Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AY
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Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
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AT
Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
IN
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Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
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Prophecy read
Hermansson v Orolbai
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
JHHermansson 24-9
VS
15-2-1 OrolbaiMO
Hermansson 24-9
VS
15-2-1 OrolbaiMO
6'1"
height
5'10"
185 lb
weight
170 lb
78"
reach
74"
38
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.1
strikes landed / min
3.4
44%
striking accuracy
48%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
56%
striking defence
49%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
5.4
30%
takedown accuracy
43%
80%
takedown defence
40%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.4
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hermansson24-9
L
MO
Orolbai
Nov '25
Orolbai
Nov '25
L
GR
Rodrigues
Jun '25
Rodrigues
Jun '25
W
JP
Pyfer
Feb '24
Pyfer
Feb '24
L
RD
Dolidze
Dec '22
Dolidze
Dec '22
W
CC
Curtis
Jul '22
Curtis
Jul '22
Orolbai15-2-1
W
CC
Curtis
Mar '26
Curtis
Mar '26
W
JH
Hermansson
Nov '25
Hermansson
Nov '25
W
TM
Musayev
Jun '25
Musayev
Jun '25
L
MR
Rębecki
Oct '24
Rębecki
Oct '24
W
EB
Brener
May '24
Brener
May '24
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I'm going to go and pick Oral B to get this done via decision.”
GLO MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I'm going to go and pick Oral B to get this done via decision.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai.”
VM
Voice of MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I think Myktybek Orolbai Bay is going to win.”
Voice of MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I think Myktybek Orolbai Bay is going to win.”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“Jack Hermansson's record at 8,200”
etoft21 sports picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“Jack Hermansson's record at 8,200”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I got Jack Hermansson by unanimous decision”
Anchor MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I got Jack Hermansson by unanimous decision”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory over Mick Tybeck.”
MMA CTRL picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory over Mick Tybeck.”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“Myktybek Orolbai by taking on Jack Hermansson at 170 lbs... I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory.”
MMA CTRL picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“Myktybek Orolbai by taking on Jack Hermansson at 170 lbs... I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory.”
FA
Faustlife19 picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I got Myktybek Orolbai by”
Faustlife19 picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I got Myktybek Orolbai by”
RE
RealMNPicks picks Jack Hermansson
“Jack Hermansson's 37 and got 75% confidence.”
RealMNPicks picks Jack Hermansson
“Jack Hermansson's 37 and got 75% confidence.”
MC
MMA Baat Chit picks Jack Hermansson
“going ahead with the reach advantage I would go ahead with Jack Hermansson”
MMA Baat Chit picks Jack Hermansson
“going ahead with the reach advantage I would go ahead with Jack Hermansson”
MN
MNPicks picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai at 70%.”
MNPicks picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai at 70%.”
BE
BetFighter picks Jack Hermansson
“bet on him winning by submission”
BetFighter picks Jack Hermansson
“bet on him winning by submission”