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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dawson v Torres Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 240 picks · conf 99/99
Dawson 130
110 Torres
TCNMHT pick Dawson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
GDDawson 23-3-1 VS 17-3 TorresMT
5'10" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 156 lb
72" reach 73"
32 age 31
Switch stance Switch
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dawson23-3-1
W MR Rębecki Submission · R3 May '26
L MT Torres KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W CF Ferreira Decision · R3 Jan '25
W RG García KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24
W JS Solecki Decision · R3 Jun '24
Torres17-3
L RF Fiziev KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W GD Dawson KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W DD Dober KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L IB Bahamondes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W CD Duncan Submission · R1 Feb '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Grant Dawson VALUE “Grant Dawson versus Manuel Torres”
HI HilexMMA picks Manuel Torres “I think Manuel Torres might get it done,”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Grant Dawson “I'm taking Grant Dawson”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Grant Dawson “give me Grant Dawson by round and pound TKO in round two.” $5.50
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Grant Dawson “I'm taking Grant Dawson.”
IM IJB MMA picks Manuel Torres “I'm picking Manuel Torres.”
PI PibbleMMA picks Grant Dawson VALUE “I picked Grant Dawson.”
RX RX picks Manuel Torres “Manuel Torres is actually going to win this yeah, give me Manuel Torres first... Manuel Torres by knockout”
MT MMA Tugg picks Grant Dawson “Listen, we're riding with Grant Dawson.”
MB Matty Betss picks Grant Dawson “So, I think that Grant Dawson going to be on Manuel Torres by”
BS Betting Weekly Studios picks Grant Dawson “Grant Dawson to win inside the distance.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Grant Dawson “Grant Dawson a bit favors Grant Dawson, leans more into his Grant Dawson taking over”