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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Moreno v Kavanagh Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 195 picks · conf 99/99
Moreno 143
52 Kavanagh
MRMKTK pick Moreno
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
BMMoreno 23-9-2 VS 10-1 KavanaghLK
5'7" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 125 lb
70" reach 67"
32 age 27
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moreno23-9-2
L LK Kavanagh Decision · R5 Feb '26
L TT Taira KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W SE Erceg Decision · R5 Mar '25
W AA Albazi Decision · R5 Nov '24
L BR Royval Decision · R5 Feb '24
Kavanagh10-1
W BM Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '26
L CJ Johnson KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
W FS Santos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W JO Ochoa Decision · R3 Nov '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HI HilexMMA picks Brandon Moreno “I do think Brandon Moreno does get the [ __ ] win here though.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Brandon Moreno “I don't really see how Lone'er Kavanagh wins this fight... I think he I think he'll win this fight uh decision just by outpacing out pointing or outpacing uh yeah, outpacing Lone'er Kavanagh.”
CN Correlation Nation picks Brandon Moreno “I'm going to go with Brandon Moreno on this”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Brandon Moreno “I've got Brandon Moreno by submission Lone'er Kavanagh.”
J- J-Dog picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I really want Lone'er Kavanagh to win this, bro.”
MC McManusMMA picks Brandon Moreno “I think he's going to finish Lone'er Kavanagh probably TKO um is what it is.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Brandon Moreno “Um, I'm going with Brandon Moreno.”
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Lone'er Kavanagh VALUE “I think Lone'er Kavanagh is the faster, more explosive fighter who has been in better form recently... I got to give you guys a play... taking this fight on short notice... He is going to pull off the upset... give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Kavanagh at plus 175.” $2.75
CP Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Lone'er Kavanagh VALUE “Lone'er Kavanagh Van and knocked out Lone'er Kavanagh, Ailín Pérez in 45 seconds. So, um, yeah, to be honest with you, Lone'er Kavanagh, they Brandon Moreno on short notice. Um, you with him, still Brandon Moreno. Um, Brandon Moreno just got knocked out.”
CP Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “Brandon Moreno just got knocked out. Um, he know, Ailín Pérez just came off a big >> Brandon Moreno's uh like the only people just I don't man I if Lone'er Kavanagh I think Lone'er Kavanagh I'm not even going to say [__] Lone'er Kavanagh, pull the [__] off. Johnson. Brandon Moreno in his prime was think he's going to let Lone'er Kavanagh come Lone'er Kavanagh in the UFC. Um he's a huge check this. Brandon Moreno apparently hear it. Yeah.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Brandon Moreno “I think Bernard Marino is going to win this fight.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “As much as I hate Brandon Moreno, I'm Brandon Moreno easily outpointing him I think Lone'er Kavanagh can take”