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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Matthews v Harris Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 3 picks · conf 10/99
Matthews 0
3 Harris
pick Matthews
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
JMMatthews 22-8 VS 19-7 HarrisCH
5'11" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
73" reach 76"
31 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Matthews22-8
W CH Harris Decision · R3 May '26
L NM Magny Submission · R3 Sep '25
W CN Njokuani Submission · R1 Jul '25
W FP Prado Decision · R3 Feb '25
W PR Rowe Decision · R3 Jun '24
Harris19-7
L JM Matthews Decision · R3 May '26
L SP Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L KW Williams KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W JW Wells Submission · R3 Aug '23
W JG Gooden Decision · R3 Mar '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Carlston Harris “You can get Carlston Harris by submission at plus”
SC System Capping picks Carlston Harris VALUE “Carlston Harris is live at 280. Great valueer.”
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks Carlston Harris