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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nascimento v Raposo Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 81 picks · conf 79/99
Nascimento 59
22 Raposo
SGTY1M pick Nascimento
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
ANNascimento 22-7 VS 10-3 RaposoMR
5'8" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 125 lb
70" reach 65"
34 age 27
Orthodox stance Switch
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nascimento22-7
L MR Raposo Decision · R3 Jun '26
W CD Durden Submission · R2 Nov '25
W JF Filho Decision · R3 May '25
W CH Hernández Submission · R1 Jan '23
W JH Hadley Decision · R3 May '22
Raposo10-3
W AN Nascimento Decision · R3 Jun '26
W AM Maksum Decision · R3 Oct '25
L SM Mudaerji Decision · R3 Apr '25
L AL Lima Decision · R3 Jun '24
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Allan Nascimento “I think I'm going to go Allan Nascimento by unanimous decision on this one.”
YA YapMMA picks Allan Nascimento “I'm taking Alan Nasimeno. I think he's going to absolutely destroy Mitch Raposo.”
MP MPSO picks Mitch Raposo “Even though he's a dog in this fight, I'm taking Mitch Raposo. I think he'll win the exchanges on the feet. And he'll be able to hold his own somewhat in the grappling. And just so win the rounds because of the more damage done even if he gets controlled for a bit of the round.”
TM Tap That MMA picks Allan Nascimento “I don't dislike at all Allan Nascimento.”
HB Half The Battle picks Allan Nascimento “I'm going to pick Allan Nascimento to come out here and submit Mitch Raposo in Las Vegas, Nevada.”
MK MMA Kay picks Allan Nascimento “I do think Allan Nascimento will win this fight.” $1.50
TA TARGETMMA picks Allan Nascimento “we are going Allan Nascimento on the money line for our strong favorites.” $1.57
TP Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Allan Nascimento “I'm going to take the better grappler. I'm going to take Allan Nascimento. I'm going to take Allan Nascimento to win a 2928 split decision.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Allan Nascimento “I'm going to go Alan Allan Nascimento by submission.”
WP We Want Picks picks Mitch Raposo “I do think he can win this fight.”
SQ SqimpMMA picks Mitch Raposo “I'm going to trust in Mitch Mitch Raposo to win this.”
FP Fight Night Picks picks Mitch Raposo “I like Mitch Raposo in this spot”