MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
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RF MT Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight SM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight NS MC Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight AA CJ Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight IA BF Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight AM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight FH EN Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight AY JW Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NR AP Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight KO JR Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight DD TB Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA JM Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TA JN Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Almabayev v Johnson Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 153 picks · conf 99/99
Almabayev 111
42 Johnson
NNHSCT pick Almabayev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
AAAlmabayev 23-3 VS 19-8 JohnsonCJ
5'4" height 5'9"
125 lb weight 126 lb
65" reach 70"
32 age 35
Orthodox stance Switch
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almabayev23-3
W CJ Johnson Submission · R3 Jun '26
W AP Perez Submission · R3 Nov '25
W JO Ochoa Decision · R3 Jul '25
L MK Kape KO/TKO · R3 Mar '25
W MN Nicolau Decision · R3 Oct '24
Johnson19-8
L AA Almabayev Submission · R3 Jun '26
W BS Silva Decision · R3 Mar '26
L AP Perez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W LK Kavanagh KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L RT Temirov Decision · R3 Mar '25
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FS Fight Society picks Charles Johnson “I think Charles Johnson is one of those spoilers in the division where he's gonna get like a a fluky like round two TKO after losing round one. That's what I'm going with for uh Charles Johnson.”
MP Moí Díaz Combat Pubcast picks Asu Almabayev “I'm going to pick Asu Almabayev on this one. You know, he's coming off a win against NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 himself. But, um I I just think he has the tools, man. I think Charles Johnson's going to be outclassed in this one. So, I'm going to take Asu Almabayev.”
KI KingTurner picks Asu Almabayev “I think that Charles Johnson he just he he can't he ultimately he gets finished, guys, in this one. The grappling's just too much in this fight.”
ST StevenMMA picks Charles Johnson “I'm picking Charles Johnson. Simple as that.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Asu Almabayev “I'm gonna have to just go with my gut and say Asu Almabayev is going to pull it off”
CB Champ Bets picks Asu Almabayev “It's going to be Asu Almabayev.”
LS Lucid Sports picks Asu Almabayev “I'm I'mma lean uh Asu Almabayev in this one, man. I think he I think he get the job done.”
TA The True Analyst picks Asu Almabayev “I say Asu Almabayev by decision, guys.”
BM Breakdown MMA picks Asu Almabayev “It's possibly a split decision, but I do n't see Johnson knocking him out or him knocking Johnson out, no, uh yes, a decision, a decision in favor of Alma Valet.”
JH Jamahal Hill picks Charles Johnson “You pulling Charles Johnson, right?”
NI Nick23mma picks Asu Almabayev “So I'm going to go Asu Almabayev just kind of grappling him winning at 2928 decision.”
CM Clutch Attitude MMA picks Asu Almabayev “I'm just going to go with Asu Almabayev to get this done. Guys, he's been he's been doing good, but he's just not that consistent as of late.”