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UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
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JM BM Maddalena vs MuhammadMain Card · Welterweight VS MF Shevchenko vs FiorotMain Card · Women'S Flyweight AZ JA Zahabi vs AldoMain Card · Featherweight NS AG Silva vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BD KP Denis vs PrepolecMain Card · Lightweight MM CR Malott vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight JJ JA Jasudavicius vs AndradePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MB IC Bukauskas vs CuțelabaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NS IE Stirling vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MB BS Barriault vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight DS LJ Santos vs Jeong-yeongEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight BA BK Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Della Maddalena v Muhammad Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 224 picks · conf 99/99
Della Maddalena 83
141 Muhammad
FBMMTM pick Della Maddalena
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
JMDella Maddalena 18-3 VS 24-5 MuhammadBM
5'11" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 171 lb
73" reach 72"
29 age 37
Switch stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Della Maddalena18-3
L CP Prates KO/TKO · R3 May '26
L IM Makhachev Decision · R5 Nov '25
W BM Muhammad Decision · R5 May '25
W GB Burns KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
W KH Holland Decision · R3 Sep '23
Muhammad24-5
L GB Bonfim Decision · R5 Jun '26
L IG Garry Decision · R3 Nov '25
L JM Maddalena Decision · R5 May '25
W LE Edwards Decision · R5 Jul '24
W GB Burns Decision · R5 May '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Belal Muhammad “Belal Muhammad plus 188 on the money line for Belal Muhammad” $2.88
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Belal Muhammad VALUE $1.56
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jack Della Maddalena VALUE “So, I'm taking Jack Della Maddalena plus60.” $1.60
BU BunkyMMA picks Belal Muhammad “I am picking Belal Muhammad to win.” $1.50
LP Lonely Stoners Podcast picks Belal Muhammad “Yeah, I have Belal Muhammad is just going to do what he needs Belal Muhammad”
CO Covers picks Belal Muhammad “Uh Bal Muhammad on the other hand, I believe is is more complete. He has more ways to win the fight and he has he always put a relent relentless pressure on his opponent that makes them fight on their heels. I think that's what he needs to do to win” $1.53
BM Blunt MMA picks Belal Muhammad VALUE “I think he is going to win this fight and I will put him on the parlay time and time again.”
UN Ultimate Fight News picks Jack Della Maddalena “Kamaru Usman thinks Jack Della Maddalena Della Maddalena can win if he stays aggressive and uses a mix of strikes.”
UN Ultimate Fight News picks Belal Muhammad “I'm going to go with Belal Muhammad.”
FC Fight CAT picks Belal Muhammad “To me personally, I believe Bal's gonna leave with the title.”
MT MMA TODAY picks Belal Muhammad VALUE “I think Belal Muhammad wins five rounds easy against Jack Della Maddalena”
KI Kevin Iole picks Jack Della Maddalena “I believe I can beat him.”