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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Holobaugh v Leavitt
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
KH
Holobaugh 22-10
VS
13-4 LeavittJL
Holobaugh 22-10
VS
13-4 LeavittJL
5'11"
height
5'9"
156 lb
weight
145 lb
70"
reach
71"
39
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.6
strikes landed / min
4.8
45%
striking accuracy
57%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
47%
striking defence
68%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
33%
takedown accuracy
61%
42%
takedown defence
75%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.7
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holobaugh22-10
L
JL
Leavitt
May '25
Leavitt
May '25
L
AH
Hernandez
Mar '25
Hernandez
Mar '25
W
KK
Kruschewsky
Jul '24
Kruschewsky
Jul '24
L
TO
Ogden
Mar '24
Ogden
Mar '24
W
AH
Hubbard
Aug '23
Hubbard
Aug '23
Leavitt13-4
L
JB
Brito
Jun '26
Brito
Jun '26
W
YV
Valle
Feb '26
Valle
Feb '26
W
KH
Holobaugh
May '25
Holobaugh
May '25
L
CH
Hooper
Nov '23
Hooper
Nov '23
W
VM
Martinez
Feb '23
Martinez
Feb '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PH
PhoneHomeMMA picks Jordan Leavitt
“I think Jordan Leavitt's just going to end up on top and that's going to be what he needs to win this one on the cards.”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I do have a unit on Kurt Holobaugh.”
GP
Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“I think he comes in and gets those takedowns and gets top control here for the first leg of our confident parlay.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Jordan Leavitt
“picked Jordan Jordan Leavitt”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Jordan Leavitt
“I think Jordan Leavitt wins in this one and give me the uh over two and a half in this one.”
$1.46
MR
MMA ROACH picks Kurt Holobaugh
“I'm going to go with Kurt Holobaugh on this one.”
BM
Bogman Financial Sports Risk Management picks Kurt Holobaugh
“I think this is honestly a pretty easy one for Jordan Leavitt.”
BM
Bogman Financial Sports Risk Management picks Jordan Leavitt
“Give me Levit by decision.”
LM
Lyfties MMA picks Kurt Holobaugh
“I'm just going to go ahead and pick Kurt Holobaugh because he just looks like he's going to get it done.”
TC
The "CASUAL" Cam picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“Kurt Holobaugh was the first underdog straight that I played this week.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I also think he wins. He's fighting a very one-dimensional guy.”
$2.85