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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rodriguez v Ponzinibbio Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 72 picks · conf 76/99
Rodriguez 34
38 Ponzinibbio
THBMKW pick Rodriguez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
DRRodriguez 18-5 VS 30-8 PonzinibbioSP
6'1" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
74" reach 73"
39 age 39
Southpaw stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodriguez18-5
W KH Holland Decision · R3 Jul '25
W SP Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R3 May '25
W AM Morono Decision · R3 Oct '24
L KG Gastelum Decision · R3 Jun '24
L IG Garry KO/TKO · R1 May '23
Ponzinibbio30-8
L DR Rodriguez KO/TKO · R3 May '25
W CH Harris KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L MS Salikhov Decision · R3 Jul '24
L KH Holland KO/TKO · R3 Apr '23
W AM Morono KO/TKO · R3 Dec '22
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE $2.00
VI VinceMMA picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE “I'm going Santiago Panzanibio by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE “I'm gonna go with Daniel Rodriguez.” $2.00
CM Coty MMA picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE “Give me Santiago Pontinibio plus 105.” $2.05
CZ Czaleo picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I went with Santiago Ponzinibbio. ... I'm going to say Santiago Ponzinibbio catches him with something”
LE LemonMMA picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I'm going to go with Santiago Ponzinibbio Pansibio by decision.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE “yo digo que paga muy bien y lo veo favorito en este duelo porque Daniel Rodríguez en las últimas peleas ha dejado que desear” $1.87
GA GABODDS picks Daniel Rodriguez “Yo yo me iría por Pon Nivio”
KM KZ MMA picks Santiago Ponzinibbio “I like Ponzibio to get this done.”
WW Wages & Warriors picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE “I'm going to lean on Daniel Daniel Rodriguez to win this fight and that's at plus 110 and I'm gonna take that all the way to the bank.” $2.10
RP Rparqs picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE “Daniel Rodriguez's going to be the pick here, the bed here, man.”
UB UFC Brasil picks Daniel Rodriguez “Next we move to the welterweight division. Daniel Rodriguez squares off against Santiago Ponzinibbio”