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Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Borjas vs RodríguezMain Card · Catchweight
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Costa vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mederos v Hubbard
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
MM
Mederos 11-1-1
VS
17-10 HubbardAH
Mederos 11-1-1
VS
17-10 HubbardAH
5'10"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
71"
29
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
4.1
41%
striking accuracy
43%
4.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
45%
striking defence
57%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
32%
takedown accuracy
34%
71%
takedown defence
67%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mederos11-1-1
W
MC
Choinski
Jun '25
Choinski
Jun '25
W
AH
Hubbard
Mar '25
Hubbard
Mar '25
Hubbard17-10
L
RZ
Zhu
Aug '25
Zhu
Aug '25
L
MM
Mederos
Mar '25
Mederos
Mar '25
L
AH
Hernandez
Oct '24
Hernandez
Oct '24
W
MF
Figlak
Apr '24
L
KH
Holobaugh
Aug '23
Holobaugh
Aug '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“I'm picking Madero to win by decision”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks MarQuel Mederos
“I'm gonna pick the upand comer especially in Mexico minus 160 favorite Curt and jerker to start the fraking event”
$1.62
NO
Northwest425 picks MarQuel Mederos
“I am going to take MarQuel Mederos by decision in this one.”
CT
Combat Sports Today picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
WO
WorstTakeMMA picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I'll definitely be looking at that prospect. uh MarQuel Mederos.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“the stars are aligned for Austin Hubbard to just be tough as [ __ ] and move forward. Austin Hubbard could squeak out a win here.”
E!
Erok ! picks MarQuel Mederos
“so we're going to go MarQuel Mederos”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“Marquel MarQuel Mederos by unanimous decision is the pick”
$1.65
PS
Plays & Fades Sports picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I do think he gets it done.”
WP
We Want Picks picks MarQuel Mederos
“I got to go with MarQuel Mederos in this fight I think he's going to be the more tactical guy can stay clean and withstand the takedowns of Austin Hubbard”