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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Matthews v Prado Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 96 picks · conf 83/99
Matthews 67
29 Prado
TACJMH pick Matthews
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
JMMatthews 22-8 VS 12-4 PradoFP
5'11" height 5'10"
170 lb weight 170 lb
73" reach 69"
31 age 24
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Matthews22-8
W CH Harris Decision · R3 May '26
L NM Magny Submission · R3 Sep '25
W CN Njokuani Submission · R1 Jul '25
W FP Prado Decision · R3 Feb '25
W PR Rowe Decision · R3 Jun '24
Prado12-4
L CR Radtke Decision · R3 Apr '26
L NV Veretennikov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L JM Matthews Decision · R3 Feb '25
L DZ Zellhuber Decision · R3 Feb '24
W OA Azaitar KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jake Matthews “my subscribers and I went with um Jake Matthews” $1.45
ML MMA Lewis picks Jake Matthews “so I'm going have to go with Jake Matthewss”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jake Matthews
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Francisco Prado VALUE $3.00
KM Knuckles MMA picks Jake Matthews “I have Jake Matthews winning this fight by either um a late round TKO a late third round TKO to be specific or um maybe a split decision”
ES etoft21 sports picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I'm taking Francisco Prado”
ES etoft21 sports picks Jake Matthews VALUE “I'm going with Jake Matthews, probably by TKO”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Jake Matthews “I'll take Jake Matthews he's more technical Francisco pra doesn't have finishing ability should stay standing Jake Matthews in his home spot”
DM DR. MMA picks Jake Matthews “I'm going have to go with Jake Matthews once again”
MW Muay Thai Wolverine picks Jake Matthews “I'm going with with you uh Jake Matthews for this”
TL The Millennial Londoner picks Francisco Prado “I'm going to go Francisco Prado”
CM Coty MMA picks Jake Matthews “I do think Jake Matthews gets it done”