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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Smith v Morales Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 71 picks · conf 76/99
Smith 51
20 Morales
PSBDGT pick Smith
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
ESSmith 9-1 VS 16-10 MoralesVM
5'9" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 136 lb
71" reach 70"
23 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Smith9-1
W YS Su-young Submission · R2 Mar '26
W TK Kazama KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W VM Morales Decision · R3 Feb '25
Morales16-10
L CT Thicknesse Decision · R3 May '26
L RJ Rosas Jr. Decision · R3 Mar '25
L ES Smith Decision · R3 Feb '25
L TL Lapilus Decision · R3 Sep '24
L MJ Johns Decision · R3 Nov '22
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Elijah Smith VALUE “I'm going to go ahead and pick Elijah Elijah Smith”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Elijah Smith VALUE $1.74
TD The Rambling Dad picks Vince Morales VALUE $1.14
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Elijah Smith “I'm officially picking Elijah Smith” $1.67
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Vince Morales VALUE “I'm going with Vince Morales to pull through” $2.21
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Vince Morales VALUE “I'm riding with my 1.5 units on Vince Morales at plus 185” $2.85
CZ Czaleo picks Elijah Smith VALUE “Elijah Smith to win by knockout a plus 600” $7.00
FI FightPicksPro picks Vince Morales “I'm picking Vince Morales in this matchup he has far more experience against high level competition having fought in the UFC left and made his way back which says a lot about his durability and skill set at 34 years old he's still in his prime and has a well-rounded game both on the feet and on the ground”
HB Home of Bets picks Vince Morales “I'm intrigued to see how Morales does”
WP We Want Picks picks Elijah Smith “I'm gonna pick Elijah because of the potential”
PM PAIN MMA picks Elijah Smith “Elijah Smith is winning this by decision”
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Vince Morales “I've heard some chatter on Vince Morales Vince Morales Morales I think he's a solid veteran Fighter”