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Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
MD
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Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight
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Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
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Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ulanbekov v Carpenter
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
TUUlanbekov 15-2
VS
8-2 CarpenterCC
Ulanbekov 15-2
VS
8-2 CarpenterCC
5'7"
height
5'6"
126 lb
weight
126 lb
70"
reach
66"
34
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.2
strikes landed / min
4.8
45%
striking accuracy
62%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
51%
striking defence
49%
3.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
46%
takedown accuracy
31%
61%
takedown defence
50%
2.1
submissions / 15 min
1.0
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ulanbekov15-2
L
KH
Horiguchi
Nov '25
Horiguchi
Nov '25
W
AM
Maksum
Jun '25
Maksum
Jun '25
W
CC
Carpenter
Jan '25
Carpenter
Jan '25
W
CD
Durden
Dec '23
Durden
Dec '23
W
NM
Maness
Nov '22
Maness
Nov '22
Carpenter8-2
L
JO
Ochoa
May '26
Ochoa
May '26
L
JF
Filho
Oct '25
Filho
Oct '25
L
TU
Ulanbekov
Jan '25
Ulanbekov
Jan '25
W
LR
Rocha
Oct '24
Rocha
Oct '24
W
JR
Ronderos
Feb '23
Ronderos
Feb '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CC
Combat Sports Central picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“my pick Tagir Ulanbekov”
Combat Sports Central picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“my pick Tagir Ulanbekov”
CC
Combat Sports Central picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“I lean Tagir Ulanbekov pick Tagir Ulanbekov so going over my Tagir Ulanbekov over Clayton Carpenter”
Combat Sports Central picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“I lean Tagir Ulanbekov pick Tagir Ulanbekov so going over my Tagir Ulanbekov over Clayton Carpenter”
MD
mdminds picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I'd like to see what Clayton Carpenter does”
mdminds picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I'd like to see what Clayton Carpenter does”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“mainly because of that I'm going to go with Tagir Ulanbekov”
$1.31
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“mainly because of that I'm going to go with Tagir Ulanbekov”
$1.31
BA
babysharpMMA🦈 picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“Clayton Carpenter at plus 260 74% of the handle”
$3.60
babysharpMMA🦈 picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“Clayton Carpenter at plus 260 74% of the handle”
$3.60
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“I can't pick Clayton Carpenter just because the crap that he has fought... I'm going Tagir Ulanbekov”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Tagir Ulanbekov
“I can't pick Clayton Carpenter just because the crap that he has fought... I'm going Tagir Ulanbekov”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Clayton Carpenter
“give me Clayton Carpenter Carpenter for my pck”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Clayton Carpenter
“give me Clayton Carpenter Carpenter for my pck”
DR
DRYWALL picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I am going to NOT_IN_ROSTER_36 Ulan NOT_IN_ROSTER_38 by decision”
DRYWALL picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“I am going to NOT_IN_ROSTER_36 Ulan NOT_IN_ROSTER_38 by decision”
TL
THE MMA LAB picks Clayton Carpenter
“that's going to be Landslide Clayton Carpenter for sure”
THE MMA LAB picks Clayton Carpenter
“that's going to be Landslide Clayton Carpenter for sure”
⚔P
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“Clayton Carpenter Carpenter watch out for him throw a couple bucks on him I see him finishing this guy so sleeper figh over the night Clayton Carpenter lock it in.”
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Clayton Carpenter VALUE
“Clayton Carpenter Carpenter watch out for him throw a couple bucks on him I see him finishing this guy so sleeper figh over the night Clayton Carpenter lock it in.”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE
“I am going toar Ulan beckov to win this fight I think he's live to finish this fight I think he's very live for a win via submission in this fight too”
$4.50
MMA EXPERTS picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE
“I am going toar Ulan beckov to win this fight I think he's live to finish this fight I think he's very live for a win via submission in this fight too”
$4.50