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UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nickal v Craig Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 96 picks · conf 83/99
Nickal 81
15 Craig
TUSbTC pick Nickal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
BNNickal 8-1 VS 17-10-1 CraigPC
6'1" height 6'3"
186 lb weight 205 lb
76" reach 76"
30 age 38
Southpaw stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nickal8-1
W KD Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W RV Vieira KO/TKO · R3 Nov '25
L RR Ridder KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W PC Craig Decision · R3 Nov '24
W CB Brundage Submission · R2 Apr '24
Craig17-10-1
L MB Bukauskas KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L BN Nickal Decision · R3 Nov '24
L CB Borralho KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L BA Allen Submission · R3 Nov '23
W AM Muniz KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Bo Nickal “Bo Nickal to go uh Bo Nickal to win by KO or decision”
BS B ALL N Sports picks Bo Nickal “I have to side with Bo Bo Nickal”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Bo Nickal “I got Bo Nickal winning round give him ... yeah Bo Nickal all day”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bo Nickal “my subscribers and I obviously went with Bo Nickal”
EM Elijah House MMA picks Paul Craig VALUE “Paul Craig was getting pieced Bo Nickal tko's him”
EM Elijah House MMA picks Bo Nickal VALUE “Bo Nickal will be Nicholls going to dominate him”
BI bilachungi picks Bo Nickal “I'm going go ahead and say Bo Nickal and uh this guy is pretty classy”
LE LeBatardShow picks Bo Nickal “he's going to blow the doors off of this guy”
MM Max Marks picks Bo Nickal “Bo Nickal's going to win let's be honest he's a heavy favor he's like Plus or he mean he's like negative 1,000 or whatever for batting odds”
CO CombatOddsHQ picks Bo Nickal “bottom line Bo Nickal is the clear favorite and it's his fight to lose basically the odds the stats the stylistic matchup but all really points towards having a dominant performance either going to finish Paul Craig with a ground and pound or cruise to a a decision” $1.10
EB ESPN BET picks Bo Nickal “Bo Nickal is going to run through Paul Craig”
CC Cody's Calls picks Bo Nickal “give me Bo Nickal to win by any way that he wants to”