MMA Prophecy
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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
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IT MH Topuria vs HollowayMain Card · Featherweight KC RW Chimaev vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight MA AR Ankalaev vs RakićMain Card · Light Heavyweight LM DI Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight SM AP Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight IA RC Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GN RA Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight MR MO Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight AM BF Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight KN CB Nzechukwu vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight FB VH Basharat vs HugoPreliminary Card · Featherweight IN BS Naurdiev vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RF CL Fakhretdinov vs LealPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Topuria v Holloway Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 274 picks · conf 99/99
Topuria 139
135 Holloway
TTGMFS pick Topuria
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
ITTopuria 17-0 VS 27-9 HollowayMH
5'7" height 5'11"
155 lb weight 155 lb
69" reach 69"
29 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
Recent form last five, most recent first
Topuria17-0
L JG Gaethje KO/TKO · R4 Jun '26
W CO Oliveira KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W MH Holloway KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W AV Volkanovski KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
W JE Emmett Decision · R5 Jun '23
Holloway27-9
L CO Oliveira Decision · R5 Mar '26
W DP Poirier Decision · R5 Jul '25
L IT Topuria KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W JG Gaethje KO/TKO · R5 Apr '24
W JC Chan-sung KO/TKO · R3 Aug '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Max Holloway “I think Max Holloway bad decision”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Max Holloway VALUE $3.20
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ilia Topuria “my subscribers and I went with Reard Fov” $1.38
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Max Holloway “reluctant but I'm going to take Max Holloway Max Holloway to get this Victory I I call me sure Max Holloway that's my bet but my pick on tapology will be Max Holloway”
BS B ALL N Sports picks Ilia Topuria VALUE “I am going to side obviously with NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 he's my guy ... I'm GNA go with ilot NOT_IN_ROSTER_20”
FL Fight Lab picks Max Holloway VALUE “I think Max Holloway gets it done”
FM FunkyBunch MMA picks Ilia Topuria “give me ilot Ilia Topuria by so I think that Ilia Topuria will be able to pick his shots land the more powerful blows” $1.42
ST StunnaSwitch picks Ilia Topuria VALUE “for this fight I'm gon go R not money line plus I'll sprinkle L on that Rinat Fakhretdinov submission”
FD Fight Dinasty picks Max Holloway “Max Holloway is a legend and he can definitely win this fight”
FC Fight CAT picks Max Holloway VALUE “I'm going to go with the max 205 take that” $3.05
PM Pitter Pat MMA picks Ilia Topuria “I'm leaning slightly towards Ilia Topuria”
CP Combat Chatters Podcast picks Ilia Topuria “I think I'm going to go Ilia Topuria”