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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Silva v Guida
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
JS
Silva 14-6
VS
38-21 GuidaCG
Silva 14-6
VS
38-21 GuidaCG
5'8"
height
5'7"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
69"
reach
70"
37
age
44
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
2.6
52%
striking accuracy
33%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
60%
striking defence
61%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
60%
takedown accuracy
36%
63%
takedown defence
67%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.6
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Silva14-6
W
CP
Puelles
Sep '25
Puelles
Sep '25
L
DK
Klose
May '24
Klose
May '24
W
CG
Guida
Dec '23
Guida
Dec '23
L
AT
Tsarukyan
Jun '23
Tsarukyan
Jun '23
W
JR
Ronson
Oct '22
Ronson
Oct '22
Guida38-21
L
CH
Hooper
Dec '24
Hooper
Dec '24
L
JS
Silva
Dec '23
Silva
Dec '23
L
RG
García
Apr '23
García
Apr '23
W
SH
Holtzman
Dec '22
Holtzman
Dec '22
L
CP
Puelles
Apr '22
Puelles
Apr '22
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joaquim Silva
“I still feel like Joaquim Silva will Jamey-Lyn Horthve some level of advantage over um wJamey-Lyn Hortht do you call him um clous so for me personally even though I feel like this this might be one of those fights tJamey-Lyn Hortht might um tJamey-Lyn Hortht might end up in a split decision in my personal opinion because it might be so close tJamey-Lyn Hortht um it could go either way and I feel like both be so closely matched tJamey-Lyn Hortht they'd be able to ccel each other out and it could go to either fighter but in this particular scenario I think um Solei will be able to manage to squeeze out a win”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Joaquim Silva
“I'm going to pick Joaquim Joaquim Silva the win”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Joaquim Silva
“Joaquim Silva will be the pick”
PN
Picks Nation picks Joaquim Silva VALUE
“wae Joaquim Silva should win this fight he's fighting a 42y old guy”
“S
“And NEW” MMA Show picks Clay Guida
“I will be rolling with the Brazilian uh Joakim Silva only because at this point Klay Guida please retire I appreciate you I love you but uh I don't really want to see you get punched in the face by a younger stronger more Dynamic Striker uh in in Silva here so I will be taking Silva I will be taking Silva by UD”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Clay Guida VALUE
“so to me I'm going to go to Clay Guida to get the job done via decision”
TH
TheWeasle picks Joaquim Silva
“I have to go with waim Klay ... I think Joaquim Silva gets it done”
KI
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Joaquim Silva
“I feel like historically Clay Guida has never really done well against black belts especially black belts with you know multiple threats and Joaquim Silva is that and also it's not like Arman Tsarukyan is getting any younger they might not be like crazy difference in age but there's definitely crazy difference in mileage clayu has been around for long long time and has been in the UFC at a higher level for a long time and still at this point you know pretty decent level as well despite being fighting for like 29 years man been fighting not 29 I'm exaggerating a little bit I feels like it yeah he's been fighting for a long time so he been UFC for at least over a decade so yeah I think um Joe Keem go out there he's gonna press Clay Guida probably try come with some overhands probably shoot some aggressi”
KI
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Clay Guida
“in this one I'm just going to be very quick pick it real quick uh Joaquim Silva I will bet him money line uh but I might look at qu clay Guida um if if the numbers become ridiculous just just because it you know it happened so yeah in this one I got Joaquim Silva uh I'm gonna say by a third round uh yeah third round submission one so”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Joaquim Silva VALUE
“I really like Joaquim Silva in this fight he's going to be seven years younger and not only like younger than Clay Guida in this fight but he's going to have a lot less tread on the tires here”
PR
Pub Sports Radio picks Joaquim Silva VALUE
“give me wem Joaquim Silva”