Choose a fight to analyse
JG
DP
Gaethje vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
AP
JB
Pereira vs BłachowiczMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
ML
Lewis vs LimaMain Card · Heavyweight
BG
TF
Green vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight
KH
MC
Holland vs ChiesaMain Card · Welterweight
GB
TG
Bonfim vs GilesPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CV
VS
Vergara vs SalvadorPreliminary Card · Catchweight
RK
CR
Kopylov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
DF
Matthews vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Welterweight
UM
MS
Medić vs SemelsbergerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MM
PC
Maverick vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
Gaethje vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
AP
JB
Pereira vs BłachowiczMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
ML
Lewis vs LimaMain Card · Heavyweight
BG
TF
Green vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight
KH
MC
Holland vs ChiesaMain Card · Welterweight
GB
TG
Bonfim vs GilesPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CV
VS
Vergara vs SalvadorPreliminary Card · Catchweight
RK
CR
Kopylov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
DF
Matthews vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Welterweight
UM
MS
Medić vs SemelsbergerEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
MM
PC
Maverick vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Medić v Semelsberger
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
UMMedić 10-2
VS
11-8 SemelsbergerMS
Medić 10-2
VS
11-8 SemelsbergerMS
—
height
6'1"
—
weight
171 lb
—
reach
75"
33
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Switch
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.8
60%
striking accuracy
42%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
58%
striking defence
54%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
50%
takedown accuracy
57%
55%
takedown defence
45%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.4
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Medić10-2
W
GN
Neal
Feb '26
Neal
Feb '26
W
MS
Salikhov
Nov '25
Salikhov
Nov '25
W
GU
Urbina
Aug '25
Urbina
Aug '25
L
PS
Soriano
Jan '25
Soriano
Jan '25
W
TM
Means
Apr '24
Means
Apr '24
Semelsberger11-8
L
CR
Radtke
Nov '24
Radtke
Nov '24
L
PP
Parsons
Jan '24
Parsons
Jan '24
L
UM
Medić
Jul '23
Medić
Jul '23
L
JW
Wells
Apr '23
Wells
Apr '23
W
JM
Matthews
Dec '22
Matthews
Dec '22
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
HP
Heavy P picks Uroš Medić
“just go with Uroš Medić in this fight”
Heavy P picks Uroš Medić
“just go with Uroš Medić in this fight”
HY
Hypecheck picks Uroš Medić VALUE
“betting wise Uroš Medić is extremely live for the upset in this spot and I'll be sprinkling some money on him for Saturday”
Hypecheck picks Uroš Medić VALUE
“betting wise Uroš Medić is extremely live for the upset in this spot and I'll be sprinkling some money on him for Saturday”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Uroš Medić VALUE
“I'm gonna go Euros in this one”
Santino DeFranco picks Uroš Medić VALUE
“I'm gonna go Euros in this one”
“S
“And NEW” MMA Show picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I'll say it's a late TKO for Matthew Semelsberger in round number three”
“And NEW” MMA Show picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I'll say it's a late TKO for Matthew Semelsberger in round number three”
“S
“And NEW” MMA Show picks Uroš Medić
“I will be rolling with uh with Uroš Medić here or Uroš Medić whatever his name is and uh I'll say also UD for Uroš Medić”
“And NEW” MMA Show picks Uroš Medić
“I will be rolling with uh with Uroš Medić here or Uroš Medić whatever his name is and uh I'll say also UD for Uroš Medić”
SL
SPORTS TREE LTD. picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I love Matthew simmonsberger in this spot and I already have a couple units on him”
$1.56
SPORTS TREE LTD. picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I love Matthew simmonsberger in this spot and I already have a couple units on him”
$1.56
XA
XaaviMMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“someone's Burger will be the pick here”
XaaviMMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“someone's Burger will be the pick here”
DV
Dissection Of Violence picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I'm gonna go with Matthew Semelsberger simmonsberger”
$1.50
Dissection Of Violence picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I'm gonna go with Matthew Semelsberger simmonsberger”
$1.50
TM
The Ten7 MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I think samuelsberger is going to get the KO finish in this one”
The Ten7 MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I think samuelsberger is going to get the KO finish in this one”
FP
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Matthew Semelsberger
“in this one I gotta sound like Matthew simsenberger to get it done Uroš Medić”
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Matthew Semelsberger
“in this one I gotta sound like Matthew simsenberger to get it done Uroš Medić”
PS
Plays & Fades Sports picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I do think there are more things to trust on the Matthew Semelsberger side for that reason he will be the pick both of them are great drafting starters though”
Plays & Fades Sports picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I do think there are more things to trust on the Matthew Semelsberger side for that reason he will be the pick both of them are great drafting starters though”