Choose a fight to analyse
HH
MS
Holm vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JM
BH
Maddalena vs HafezMain Card · Welterweight
FP
OA
Prado vs AzaitarMain Card · Lightweight
PJ
AD
Jun-yong vs DuraevMain Card · Middleweight
ND
CC
Dumont vs ChandlerMain Card · Women'S Featherweight
NS
TM
Sadykhov vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
MB
TL
Baghdasaryan vs LutzPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VD
IN
Dudakova vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MC
AL
Costa vs LingoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
EE
GV
Elder vs ValdezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AM
TN
Maksum vs NamPreliminary Card · Flyweight
AM
CI
Munoz vs Deaton IIIPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AP
AE
Pérez vs Evans-SmithPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MS
Holm vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JM
BH
Maddalena vs HafezMain Card · Welterweight
FP
OA
Prado vs AzaitarMain Card · Lightweight
PJ
AD
Jun-yong vs DuraevMain Card · Middleweight
ND
CC
Dumont vs ChandlerMain Card · Women'S Featherweight
NS
TM
Sadykhov vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
MB
TL
Baghdasaryan vs LutzPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VD
Dudakova vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MC
AL
Costa vs LingoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
EE
GV
Elder vs ValdezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AM
TN
Maksum vs NamPreliminary Card · Flyweight
AM
CI
Munoz vs Deaton IIIPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AP
AE
Pérez vs Evans-SmithPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Elder v Valdez
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
EE
Elder 10-2
VS
10-3 ValdezGV
Elder 10-2
VS
10-3 ValdezGV
5'10"
height
5'9"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
72"
29
age
34
Switch
stance
Orthodox
2.0
strikes landed / min
4.1
60%
striking accuracy
30%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
7.2
71%
striking defence
48%
2.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
44%
takedown accuracy
44%
90%
takedown defence
36%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.4
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Elder10-2
W
GY
Young
Apr '25
Young
Apr '25
W
DF
Flowers
Jul '24
Flowers
Jul '24
W
GV
Valdez
Jul '23
Valdez
Jul '23
L
NS
Sadykhov
Feb '23
Sadykhov
Feb '23
L
PP
Parsons
Apr '22
Parsons
Apr '22
Valdez10-3
L
EE
Elder
Jul '23
Elder
Jul '23
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Evan Elder VALUE
“the next one is Genaro Valdez versus Evan Elder um like Evan Elder should win”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Evan Elder
“I'm picking Evan Elder to win”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Genaro Valdez
“Genaro Valdez takes on Evan Elder”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Evan Elder VALUE
“you got to go Evan Elder on that”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Evan Elder
“most confident fighter is Jack Della Maddalena melchizio Costa Evan Elder”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Evan Elder
“I got Evan Elder just being a bit more well-rounded a bit stronger but uh he's not really making my ticket”
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Evan Elder VALUE
“both of us going with Evan Evan Elder”
BM
Bert MMA picks Genaro Valdez VALUE
“there's actually a little bit of value on Genaro Valdezs well as that Underdog”
SE
SevereMMA picks Evan Elder VALUE
“I feel Terrance McKinney may get in his own way at the best of times when he steps inside the Octagon”