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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Diego Ferreira v Johnson Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus 14 picks · conf 35/99
Diego Ferreira 4
10 Johnson
HPWS pick Diego Ferreira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
CFDiego Ferreira 23-8 VS 0-0 JohnsonMJ
5'5" height 5'10"
215 lb weight 156 lb
64" reach 74"
— age 40
Switch stance Southpaw
Recent form last five, most recent first
Diego Ferreira23-8
L AH Hernandez KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
L GD Dawson Decision · R3 Jan '25
W MR Rębecki KO/TKO · R3 May '24
W MJ Johnson KO/TKO · R2 May '23
L MG Gamrot KO/TKO · R2 Dec '21
Johnson0-0
L DD Dober KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W DZ Zellhuber Decision · R3 Jul '25
W OA Azaitar KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W DF Flowers Decision · R3 Feb '24
L CF Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 May '23
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I personally think Michael Johnson wins”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I'm picking Michael Johnson to lay him out man” $2.40
SH Sherdog.com picks Michael Johnson VALUE “look at Michael Dunton as well if he fights the the best of his ability that plus 133 price looks pretty good” $2.33
CL Clenbat picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I really like Michael Johnson's chances for the odd”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Michael Johnson “I'm gonna go Michael Johnson here”
HB Half The Battle picks Carlos Diego Ferreira “I'm gonna pick Carlos Diego Ferreira because I think in both of their primes Carlos Diego Ferreira wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Michael Johnson “we have Michael Johnson Johnson taking on Carlos Carlos Diego Ferreira Ferreira”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Michael Johnson “give me the underdog give me Michael Johnson to win this match up”
AM Artem MMA picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I think Michael Johnson does win this fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Carlos Diego Ferreira “my gut has leaning me towards Carlos Diego Ferreira's way”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I'm going Michael Johnson dog of the week”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Michael Johnson “I'm gonna go with Michael Johnson dude I can't all go with Michael Johnson”