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Murphy vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Duncan vs TodorovićEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hadley v Gordon
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
JHHadley 11-4
VS
14-8 GordonMG
Hadley 11-4
VS
14-8 GordonMG
—
height
5'7"
—
weight
127 lb
—
reach
71"
29
age
36
Southpaw
stance
Switch
3.8
strikes landed / min
2.5
43%
striking accuracy
45%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.0
61%
striking defence
43%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
11%
takedown accuracy
35%
54%
takedown defence
26%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
1.0
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hadley11-4
L
CS
Smotherman
Oct '24
Smotherman
Oct '24
W
CL
Loughran
Jul '24
Loughran
Jul '24
L
CJ
Johnson
May '24
Johnson
May '24
L
CD
Durden
Aug '23
Durden
Aug '23
W
MG
Gordon
Mar '23
Gordon
Mar '23
Gordon14-8
L
JF
Flick
Jan '24
Flick
Jan '24
L
JH
Hadley
Mar '23
Hadley
Mar '23
L
MM
Mokaev
Oct '22
Mokaev
Oct '22
W
DB
Bondar
Feb '22
Bondar
Feb '22
W
FF
Figueiredo
Jul '21
Figueiredo
Jul '21
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Malcolm Gordon VALUE
“I don't hate that play on Malcolm Gordon I think Jake Hadley's gonna win here but I really do like ... and given Malcolm Gordon a shot at 6.9 k for all the reasons”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Malcolm Gordon VALUE
“I don't hate that play on Malcolm Gordon I think Jake Hadley's gonna win here but I really do like ... and given Malcolm Gordon a shot at 6.9 k for all the reasons”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“Jake Hadley should absolutely work Malcolm Gordon Jake Hadley should win inside the distance”
We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“Jake Hadley should absolutely work Malcolm Gordon Jake Hadley should win inside the distance”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think that uh the speed and the willingness to the speed of Hadley and the willingness to accept bottom from Malcolm Gordon I think that's going to be the difference in this fight I like Hadley here for the win”
Santino DeFranco picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think that uh the speed and the willingness to the speed of Hadley and the willingness to accept bottom from Malcolm Gordon I think that's going to be the difference in this fight I like Hadley here for the win”
BM
Bedtime MMA picks Jake Hadley
“I'm gonna pick Jake Hadley to win this one maybe submission or probably a decision”
Bedtime MMA picks Jake Hadley
“I'm gonna pick Jake Hadley to win this one maybe submission or probably a decision”
NN
Noah Nwadei picks Jake Hadley
“I think Jake Hadley gets this one done”
Noah Nwadei picks Jake Hadley
“I think Jake Hadley gets this one done”
WI
WEIGHING IN picks Jake Hadley
“Bobby Lashley Jake Hadley Bobby about Jake Hadley I love Jake Hadley”
WEIGHING IN picks Jake Hadley
“Bobby Lashley Jake Hadley Bobby about Jake Hadley I love Jake Hadley”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think Jake Hadley beats the crap out of Malcolm Gordon”
We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“I think Jake Hadley beats the crap out of Malcolm Gordon”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley
“Jake Jake Hadley is a play because he is the better fighter of the two”
We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley
“Jake Jake Hadley is a play because he is the better fighter of the two”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“you guys know I'm taking Jake Hadley uh to to get the job done here”
$1.28
Walk The Line MMA picks Jake Hadley VALUE
“you guys know I'm taking Jake Hadley uh to to get the job done here”
$1.28