UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:004:168:3312:50≈17:07
EM
Eduarda Moura
v Veronica Hardy
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
Eduarda Moura
v Veronica Hardy
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
“I'm gonna take edar Mo to get a submission here”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$5.50
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.40
→
close$3.50
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MG
Mickey Gall
v Ramiz Brahimaj
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Mickey Gall
v Ramiz Brahimaj
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“give me Mickey Mickey Gall by decision”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.80
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JD
Jhonata Diniz
v Marcin Tybura
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Jhonata Diniz
v Marcin Tybura
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'm gonna take Denise here man he's a slight Underdog I think he might knock him out”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.55
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
DO
David Onama
v Roberto Romero
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
David Onama
v Roberto Romero
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
“David Onama is minus a thousand that's all you need to know”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.11
→
close$1.11
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MR
Maurício Ruffy
v James Llontop
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Maurício Ruffy
v James Llontop
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“give me Maurício Ruffy by KO”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.66
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
BN
Bo Nickal
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
Bo Nickal
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
“give me Bo Nickal to win by any way that he wants to”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.10
→
close$1.08
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CO
Charles Oliveira
v Michael Chandler
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Charles Oliveira
v Michael Chandler
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I'm gonna take Ola inside the distance uh knockout or submission”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$3.15
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
JJ
Jon Jones
v Stipe Miocic
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
Jon Jones
v Stipe Miocic
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
“I'm definitely gonna be taking Jon Jones to win”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MM
Marcus McGhee
v Jonathan Martinez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
—
Marcus McGhee
v Jonathan Martinez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
—
“I'm going to take McGee he's a small favorite but I think he I think if he gets Martinez down to the ground I feel like he just dominates there”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$15.00
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)