UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:0016:0932:1848:27≈64:37
AP
Ailín Pérez
v Ashlee Evans-Smith
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
Ailín Pérez
v Ashlee Evans-Smith
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
“I think Perez should probably win just by you know being a little more active and you know tenacious in there”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.50
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
AM
Alexander Munoz
v Carl Deaton III
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
Alexander Munoz
v Carl Deaton III
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
“I think I win this fight plus 525 by sub”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
EE
Evan Elder
v Genaro Valdez
MONEYLINE
WON +0.3u
Evan Elder
v Genaro Valdez
MONEYLINE
WON +0.3u
“maybe we do something like that this week for Evan Elder Elder um when those prices drop”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.34
→
close$1.34
entry: Betclic · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JM
Jack Della Maddalena
v Bassil Hafez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Jack Della Maddalena
v Bassil Hafez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“I got Jack Della Maddalena knockout second round”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.36
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Austin Lingo
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
Melquizael Costa
v Austin Lingo
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST -1.0u
“my overall pick will be uh coaster uh by third round knockout”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$4.50
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
VD
Viktoriya Dudakova
v Istela Nunes
MONEYLINE
WON +0.5u
“I'm going with the Russian dudukova the grappler”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.56
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68
→
close$1.68
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
ND
Norma Dumont
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
WON +0.7u
—
Norma Dumont
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
WON +0.7u
—
“I think her being a sleight favorite”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.73
→
close$1.74
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
HH
Holly Holm
v Mayra Bueno Silva
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
Holly Holm
v Mayra Bueno Silva
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
“I do think that honestly home is is value at this point”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.59
→
now$1.62
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish