UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:002:174:346:51≈9:08
BD
Benoît Saint Denis
v Kyle Prepolec
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
Benoît Saint Denis
v Kyle Prepolec
MONEYLINE
WON +0.1u
“If Ben Wis can't get past this guy who is stepping in on last minute notice and win, then we just figured out that Benoît Saint Denis was never that guy.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.08
→
close$1.11
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
NS
Natália Silva
v Alexa Grasso
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
Natália Silva
v Alexa Grasso
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
“I think Natália Silva's going to get it done solely because she's younger, she's a bit more consistent in her performances.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.45
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
VS
Valentina Shevchenko
v Manon Fiorot
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.9u
Valentina Shevchenko
v Manon Fiorot
PROP · DECISION
WON +1.9u
“I simply think she will be outskilled and brought to a decision lost by Valentina Shevchenko.”
Prop price at publish
+1.9u
$2.88
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Jack Della Maddalena
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Belal Muhammad
v Jack Della Maddalena
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“I think Belal Muhammad is going to win by a unanimous decision.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$1.95
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.57
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus