UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg · breakdown
UFC Mexico: Moreno vs Erceg - Story Lines, Prospects to Watch, And MORE
WO
WorstTakeMMA
15 months ago
9W–3L · +1.4u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:003:387:1610:54≈14:32
MM
MarQuel Mederos
v Austin Hubbard
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
MarQuel Mederos
v Austin Hubbard
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
“I'll definitely be looking at that prospect. uh MarQuel Mederos.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.65
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RG
Rafa García
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
Rafa García
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
“Hoff Rafa García has every advantage in this fight.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
CR
Christian Rodriguez
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
Christian Rodriguez
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · DECISION
LOST -1.0u
“I see this one going to the decision just because that's Christian Rodriguez's fight style.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$2.38
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
ÉC
Édgar Cháirez
v C.J. Vergara
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
Édgar Cháirez
v C.J. Vergara
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
“Édgar Cháirez is Mexican. He is 1 and 0 in Mexico whenever he fights.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.39
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RR
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“Ronaldo Rodríguez is a big prospect, very hyped up, very well respected in Mexico.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.70
→
close$1.71
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JE
Jamall Emmers
v Gabriel Miranda
MONEYLINE
WON +0.3u
Jamall Emmers
v Gabriel Miranda
MONEYLINE
WON +0.3u
“Joe Pyer 69% knockout rate. He's 4-1 in the UFC right now.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.30
→
close$1.29
entry: Everygame · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
MT
Manuel Torres
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
WON +0.9u
Manuel Torres
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
WON +0.9u
“Mando Torres, though, is a dangerous fighter. He has a 93% finish rate and he's 1 and 0 Mexico.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$2.05
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
AG
Ateba Gautier
v José Daniel Medina
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
—
Ateba Gautier
v José Daniel Medina
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
—
“Gautierre is making his UFC debut. He's got an 83% knockout rate.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
—
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON +0.4u
—
“If I had to make a pick, I personally have Brandon Moreno. I think Brandon Moreno's experience is ultimately going to uh to push him ahead.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.44
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
JP
Julia Polastri
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Julia Polastri
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“Julia Julia Polastri has a 54% finish rate, which is rare in these lower weight classes.”
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
RJ
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Vince Morales
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
—
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Vince Morales
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
—
“Rosus is coming in here with a 60% submission rate coming off a three-fight win streak.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.22
entry: Everygame · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
DM
David Martínez
v Saimon Oliveira
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
—
David Martínez
v Saimon Oliveira
MONEYLINE
WON +0.2u
—
“David Martínez who is making his UFC debut coming in on a seven-fight win streak has an 82% knockout rate.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.26
→
close$1.26
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus