UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · breakdown
UFC FIGHT NIGHT BURNS VS MORALES BREAKDOWN / PREDICTIONS
JO
JoDan616
13 months ago
5W–2L · +4.2u
7/9 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline
moneylineprop
0:004:258:5113:17≈17:43
LP
Luana Pinheiro
v Tecia Pennington
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
Luana Pinheiro
v Tecia Pennington
MONEYLINE
LOST -1.0u
“I'm just going to go with Luana Pinheiro. All right, I'm going to go with Luana Pinheiro.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.80
→
close$3.80
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
PH
Park Hyun-sung
v Carlos Hernandez
MONEYLINE
WON
Park Hyun-sung
v Carlos Hernandez
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'mma buy into the hype. I'm gonna go with Park Hyun-sung.”
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
YV
Yadier Del Valle
v Connor Matthews
MONEYLINE
Yadier Del Valle
v Connor Matthews
MONEYLINE
“I'm going go with that uh Yadier Del Valle. Um I'm buying into the hype.”
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
TM
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST -1.0u
“I'm going to go with Thiago Moisés. Um, maybe he could pull off a submission against Jared Gordon.”
Prop price at publish
-1.0u
$7.25
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
WON +0.6u
“I'm going K Melquizael Costa. I'm going Melquizael Costa.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.59
→
close$1.59
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
NR
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Dustin Stoltzfus
MONEYLINE
WON +0.3u
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Dustin Stoltzfus
MONEYLINE
WON +0.3u
“I'mma go with Nursulton Ruziboev. Um, I think I Ultimately, I think he's better.”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.43
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
LS
Luana Santos
v Tainara Lisboa
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +4.5u
Luana Santos
v Tainara Lisboa
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON +4.5u
“I'mma go Luana Santos. Um, it's really hard to go against Sodiq Yusuffue right now though, like for me personally for this fight. But I'm going go against I'mma do it. So, I'm going go Luana Santos.”
Prop price at publish
+4.5u
$5.55
SUBMISSION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MM
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON +0.7u
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON +0.7u
“I'mma go Michael Morales. Um, quick simple video.”
Prop price at publish
+0.7u
$1.71
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
RB
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
—
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
—
“I'm going to go with Rafo. Um, I think he can hurt Paul Craig. I think he hurt Paul Craig. and uh that put it put his lights out.”
Prop price at publish
$1.67
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)