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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · breakdown

PREDICTION UFC308 I TOPURIA x HOLLOWAY I CHIMAEV x WITTAKER I ANKALAEV x RAKIC

FI FIGHTology
20 months ago 4W–3L · +3.7u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:005:2210:4416:06≈21:28
BS Bruno Silva v Ismail Naurdiev PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“me personally I'm going with Bruno Silva I think blindado is a good fighter I think he has way more experience to fight against high class Fighters so I would say blindado wins um this match and maybe via decision”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$5.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
DI Dan Ige v Lerone Murphy MONEYLINE LOST -1.0u
“I'm going with Dan Ige I think he's a warrior he did a really good job against Diego Lopez who is one of the hardest guys at the moment in the UFC so I would say it we got you I think you take this win home”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.40 close$3.40
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
SM Sharabutdin Magomedov v Armen Petrosyan PROP · KO/TKO WON +3.1u
“I would say Sharabutdin Magomedov wins and he he will continue undefeated and maybe he's winning via knockout but I would say end of second or third round”
Prop price at publish +3.1u
$4.12
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
MA Magomed Ankalaev v Aleksandar Rakić PROP · DECISION WON +0.9u
“I'm going with Magomed Ankalaev because I was just watching his sherog again and guys Magomed Ankalaev was fighting against bovitz um in a draw yes but me personally I saw Magomed Ankalaev winning I was there and I saw Magomed Ankalaev winning so yeah he was fighting against blo it's a really experienced guy then he was winning against Smith he was winning against Santos he was winning against Emir he was winning against kulov he was winning against Cawa he was winning against uh John Walker so man he was fighting some big names so and like really different typing fighting styles you know like if you look at bovitz he's a really different type to Magomed Ankalaev to to to to Walker so then we have Smith like completely different fighter to Walker and to blov it's so I think Magomed Ankalaev can adapt pretty well to different fighting styles and yeah maybe he's not the most exciting fighter but you know guys we are talking about MMA as well we are not fight talking about a kickbox match so if the guys are going on the ground man that's it it's MMA so it's totally uh okay you know so I would say Magomed Ankalaev is winning um bad for us in Europe because for us it would be awesome if we have an Austrian fighter winning but I would say Magomed Ankalaev is winning Maybe by decision I don't think there will be a knockout actually even if it's light heavyweight I believe it's be a decision because rockage is a is a good fighter man and um he can take some shots as well so I predict Magomed Ankalaev winning by decision”
Prop price at publish +0.9u
$1.89
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
IT Ilia Topuria v Max Holloway MONEYLINE WON +0.4u
“I'm going with Ilia Topuria my heart is bleeding but I'm going with toura I think he will be the champion still on Saturday night I'm wishing Holloway obviously as well to become a champion and a rematch would be like amazing for us but talking about the skills I see Ilia Topuria with a better better boxing and Ilia Topuria stronger on the ground um and maybe as well having the High fight AQ don't know but uh these are the arguments why I'm going with Ilia Topuria”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.43 close$1.46
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish · graded at close consensus
RW Robert Whittaker v Khamzat Chimaev PROP · DECISION LOST -1.0u
“I'm rooting for a wit taker I think he will win this fight Khamzat Chimaev have had some troubles in uh cutting weight as well he was the last one on the scale so all this stuff is affecting people you know is affecting Fighters and that's why I would say Robert Whittaker wittaker you win and then maybe you are next for the title shot and I don't believe in a knockout I think it would be via decision”
Prop price at publish -1.0u
$7.00
DECISION priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)
GN Geoff Neal v Rafael dos Anjos PROP · KO/TKO WON +2.3u
“I would say Geoff Neal we got you you are getting this win against Rafael dos Anjos sorry for my Brazilian friends but I'm thinking Geoff Neal is winning and maybe he's winning via knockout”
Prop price at publish +2.3u
$3.33
KO/TKO priced off sportsbook closing consensus (BestFightOdds median)