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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Krylov v Bukauskas Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus 199 picks · conf 99/99
Krylov 74
125 Bukauskas
CSLSLG pick Krylov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
NKKrylov 31-11 VS 19-7 BukauskasMB
6'3" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 204 lb
78" reach 78"
34 age 32
Orthodox stance Switch
Recent form last five, most recent first
Krylov31-11
W MB Bukauskas KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
L BG Guskov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L DR Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W RS Spann Submission · R1 Mar '23
W VO Oezdemir Decision · R3 Oct '22
Bukauskas19-7
W CE Edwards Decision · R3 May '26
L NK Krylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
W PC Craig KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W IC Cuțelaba Decision · R3 May '25
W RC Cerqueira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
The model read AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI FightCircuit picks Modestas Bukauskas “I think Modestas Bukauskas is going to finish him either way.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Nikita Krylov
LI liltoaster picks Modestas Bukauskas “So, um he's gonna I think he's going to get knocked out.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Nikita Krylov “I'm picking Nikita Krylov just because this, he has if you, if you, I mean, he he has to win this fight.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Modestas Bukauskas “give me Boas by decision.”
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Modestas Bukauskas “I'm going to go with Modestas Bukauskas.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Modestas Bukauskas “he's going to win by uh probably a second round uh second round um TKO finish.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Modestas Bukauskas “I'm going to go Modestas Bukauskas's second round KO.”
SP SportsLine picks Nikita Krylov “Give me Nikita Krylov to prove people that he his opponent Modestas Bukauskas.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Modestas Bukauskas “want to lay a minus number on Modestas Bukauskas ... Modestas Bukauskas probably knocks him out.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Modestas Bukauskas “I'm leaning Modestas Bukauskas on this one.”
MK Morning Kombat picks Modestas Bukauskas “Modestas Bukauskas is gonna win um because Nikita Nikita Krylov is superw washed”